MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 21, 2026.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

3.97 @ 3.78

MIL
MIL logo
MIL

Braves vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

3.97

+135

o6.0 -115

+1.5 -185

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

3.78

-134

u6.5 -120

-1.5 +175

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

STL logo
STL
STL

3.55 @ 5.15

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Cardinals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

3.55

+194

o8.0 -110

+1.5 -115

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

5.15

-200

u8.5 -118

-1.5 +110

Toronto @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.72 @ 4.86

NYY
NYY logo
NYY

Blue Jays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

3.72

+220

o7.0 -115

+1.5 -110

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

4.86

-230

u7.5 -110

-1.5 +105

Washington @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.13 @ 4.06

MIA
MIA logo
MIA

Nationals vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

4.13

+136

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -160

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

4.06

-142

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +150

San Francisco @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

SF logo
SF
SF

4.08 @ 4.61

BOS
BOS logo
BOS

Giants vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

4.08

+164

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -135

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

4.61

-168

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +128

Top Projection Bryce Eldridge o0.5 Total RBIs (+241)
o0.5+241
Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

TB logo
TB
TB

4.23 @ 4.73

BAL
BAL logo
BAL

Rays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

4.23

+116

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -185

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

4.73

-124

u8.5 -120

-1.5 +175

Top Projection Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+290)
o0.5+290
NY Mets @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.40 @ 4.60

CHW
CHW logo
CHW

Mets vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

4.40

+133

o7.0 -190

+1.5 -165

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

4.60

-140

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +155

Top Projection Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
o0.5+197
Athletics @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.63 @ 4.52

HOU
HOU logo
HOU

Athletics vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

3.63

+170

o7.0 -200

+3.5 -315

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

4.52

-180

u8.5 -115

-3.5 +245

Top Projection Zack Gelof o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
o0.5+247
Detroit @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DET logo
DET
DET

4.59 @ 4.96

KC
KC logo
KC

Tigers vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

4.59

-108

o8.0 -118

-1.5 +150

KC logo
KC
KC

4.96

+105

u8.5 -115

+1.5 -160

Top Projection Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
LA Angels @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.78 @ 4.11

TEX
TEX logo
TEX

Angels vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

3.78

+131

o7.5 +105

+1.5 -170

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

4.11

-140

u7.5 -115

-1.5 +160

Cleveland @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

5.97 @ 5.04

COL
COL logo
COL

Guardians vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

5.97

-146

o10.5 -110

-1.5 +105

COL logo
COL
COL

5.04

+143

u10.5 +100

+1.5 -115

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.65 @ 4.66

AZ
AZ logo
AZ

Reds vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

4.65

+135

o8.0 -118

+1.5 -155

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

4.66

-140

u8.5 -110

-1.5 +145

Top Projection Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+201)
o0.5+201
Minnesota @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.50 @ 4.38

SD
SD logo
SD

Twins vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

4.50

+133

o8.0 -115

+1.5 -170

SD logo
SD
SD

4.38

-130

u8.5 -115

-1.5 +160

Top Projection Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5+220
Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.35 @ 5.17

LAD
LAD logo
LAD

Pirates vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

3.35

+210

o8.0 -114

+1.5 -105

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

5.17

-219

u11.0 -500

-1.5 -105

Top Projection Brandon Lowe u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
u1.5-190
Chi. Cubs @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.84 @ 4.34

SEA
SEA logo
SEA

Cubs vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

4.84

-104

o7.5 -115

+1.5 -220

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

4.34

-105

u8.0 -115

-1.5 +180

Top Projection Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
o0.5+206
Toronto @ NY Yankees
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Blue Jays vs Yankees · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TOR logo
TOR
TOR

--

--

--

--

NYY logo
NYY
NYY

--

--

--

--

Atlanta @ Milwaukee
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Braves vs Brewers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATL logo
ATL
ATL

--

--

--

--

MIL logo
MIL
MIL

--

--

--

--

Washington @ Miami
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Nationals vs Marlins · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

--

--

--

--

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

--

--

--

--

St. Louis @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cardinals vs Phillies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

STL logo
STL
STL

--

--

--

--

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

--

--

--

--

LA Angels @ Texas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Angels vs Rangers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

LAA logo
LAA
LAA

--

--

--

--

TEX logo
TEX
TEX

--

--

--

--

Tampa Bay @ Baltimore
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Rays vs Orioles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

TB logo
TB
TB

--

--

--

--

BAL logo
BAL
BAL

--

--

--

--

NY Mets @ Chi. White Sox
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Mets vs White Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

NYM logo
NYM
NYM

--

--

--

--

CHW logo
CHW
CHW

--

--

--

--

Athletics @ Houston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Athletics vs Astros · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

ATH logo
ATH
ATH

--

--

--

--

HOU logo
HOU
HOU

--

--

--

--

Pittsburgh @ LA Dodgers
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Pirates vs Dodgers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

PIT logo
PIT
PIT

--

--

--

--

LAD logo
LAD
LAD

--

--

--

--

Detroit @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Tigers vs Royals · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

DET logo
DET
DET

--

--

--

--

KC logo
KC
KC

--

--

--

--

Chi. Cubs @ Seattle
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Cubs vs Mariners · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CHC logo
CHC
CHC

--

--

--

--

SEA logo
SEA
SEA

--

--

--

--

San Francisco @ Boston
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Giants vs Red Sox · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

SF logo
SF
SF

--

--

--

--

BOS logo
BOS
BOS

--

--

--

--

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Reds vs Diamondbacks · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CIN logo
CIN
CIN

--

--

--

--

AZ logo
AZ
AZ

--

--

--

--

Cleveland @ Colorado
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Guardians vs Rockies · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

CLE logo
CLE
CLE

--

--

--

--

COL logo
COL
COL

--

--

--

--

Minnesota @ San Diego
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

Twins vs Padres · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

ML

Total

Run Line

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

--

--

--

--

SD logo
SD
SD

--

--

--

--

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Fri, Aug 21 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gary Sanchez logo Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+500)
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Chris Sale attacks right-handed bats with a steady dose of fastballs, and that’s good news for lefty-masher Gary Sanchez.

He has gone nuclear against four-seamers thrown by southpaws, barreling up more than 22% of the time while posting a .684 ISO.

I'd bet this to +480

Total
Atlanta Braves logo Milwaukee Brewers logo o6.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 28 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Chris Sale is exceptional but he has averaged 5.5 innings of work over his last 10 starts, and Milwaukee’s patience at the plate should chase him in six innings or less. 

That’d afford plenty of opportunity to scratch together runs against a bullpen sitting 25th in xFIP the last month.

Jacob Misiorowski is not immune to power, allowing multiple homers in three of the last seven starts. 

I’d play the Over to -122.

View 13 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Fri, Aug 21 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dingers are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Dobbins in today's game.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper logo
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+124)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 7th-best batter in the league.. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park projects as the #9 field in the league for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Dobbins throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Bryce Harper has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
View 10 Picks
Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Aug 21 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Wells logo
Austin Wells u1.5 Total Bases (-320)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Austin Wells is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league stadiums, Yankee Stadium's CF dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Strikeouts Thrown
Cam Schlittler logo
Cam Schlittler u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-102)
Projection 6.15
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 19% underlying K%.
View 10 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brady House logo
Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+263)
Projection 0.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Brady House is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Brady House hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Strikeouts Thrown
Brad Lord logo
Brad Lord u2.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-112)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brad Lord to throw 33 pitches in this matchup (least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Brad Lord will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.
View 10 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Aug 21 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Wilyer Abreu logo Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 95th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xSLG, ISO, and hard hit rate against right-handed pitching over the last 30 days.

Logan Webb has predictably been more prone to conceding homers on the road, and Abreu went for extra bases in the only two head-to-head bats we’ve seen.

Bet to +450.

Moneyline
Boston Red Sox logo BOS (-180)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Boston Red Sox lead the majors in OPS and wOBA against right-handed pitching this month.

Logan Webb has started four games against teams that ranked Top-10 in batting average the 30 games prior to facing off. He allowed at least three runs in three of them, and posted a 5.74 ERA.

Back Boston to -185.

View 12 Picks
Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Fri, Aug 21 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Gunnar Henderson logo Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+405)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

Fifteen of the 20 homers Perlta has allowed have came against left-handed hitters across 83 innings, who have posted a .270/.332/.477 line, and he has surrendered a 19.2% pull-air rate. Gunnar Henderson is Baltimore's primary left-handed power bat, and Camden Yards is where Peralta's fastball problem gets punished, a that Gunnar has led the O's in hard-hit rate against. Play to +330.

Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Baltimore Orioles logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Chris Hatfield image
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst

I don't see a huge edge here but make this playable to -110 with two suspect arms.

We've talked about Tampa Bay Rays arm Peralta already but it's worth mention another aspect: his fastball. The O's hit it at a Top 10 rate according to virtually any metic and he throws it 53.5% of the time and yielding a .471 slugging percentage with a 50.2% hard-hit rate. Yet again another blinking signal to perhaps multiple homer from the Baltimore bats. On the other side, the Rays own the best contact rate in MLB at 78.9% and the lowest strikeout rate at 18.7%, and Trevor Rogers cannot punish that, grading in the 33rd percentile in strikeout rate and the 34th percentile in whiff rate.

View 13 Picks
New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Fri, Aug 21 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game is predicted to have the highest humidity on the slate (79%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid.. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Burke today.. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst among all the teams playing today.
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk logo
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report expects the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
View 10 Picks
Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total RBIs
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+209)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Hitting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Lawrence Butler will have an advantage today.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Jeff McNeil logo
Jeff McNeil u0.5 Total Hits (+192)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Minute Maid Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up -6° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Today, Jeff McNeil is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.9% rate (86th percentile).. Jeff McNeil will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
View 10 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Fri, Aug 21 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
Detroit Tigers logo Kansas City Royals logo o8.5 (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Kyle LaRusic image
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor

Our computer projections predict 9.54 runs in this matchup, a full run Over this total. Kansas City is also batting over .300 in its last five, and I think the Royals' bats can stay hot vs. Troy Melton despite his recent form.

Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Jac Caglianone is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°.
View 11 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Fri, Aug 21 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o1.5 Total Bases (+240)
Projection 1.18
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Oswald Peraza logo
Oswald Peraza o0.5 Total RBIs (+340)
Projection 0.39
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Globe Life Field has the 7th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Oswald Peraza will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Aug 21 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Willi Castro logo
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+168)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 39 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #1 stadium in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ -1.5 (+146)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

The numbers strongly favor Arizona to win comfortably tonight. Over the past month, the Diamondbacks rank first in home OPS and second against left-handed pitching, while Cincinnati ranks 27th on the road and 28th versus lefties. Eduardo Rodriguez also owns an ERA nearly two runs lower than Nick Lodolo, who has led the Reds to a 4-10 record in his starts. Throw in a struggling Reds bullpen, and we have the recipe for a lopsided Dbacks W. 

Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. Chase Field projects as the #3 stadium in the game for overall right-handed offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
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Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ San Diego Padres logo SD Fri, Aug 21 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis logo
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 79%.
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as MLB's 4th-best home run batter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Petco Park's CF dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humidity on the slate at 79%.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo Los Angeles Dodgers logo u8.5 (-131)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

The Dodgers have cashed the Under in four consecutive Yoshinobu Yamamoto starts, and his splitter should work optimally in his matchup (Pittsburgh is 23rd in runs above average per 100 splitters seen). Bubba Chandler, meanwhile, has even better numbers than Yamamoto in their last six respective outings. Both bullpens rank in the top 10 in FIP over the last 14 days (L.A. 3.37, Pittsburgh 3.53) and are refreshed after Thursday's off day, so run suppression is a likely outcome of tonight's ballgame.

Moneyline
Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT (+206)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

Bubba Chandler has allowed no more than three earned runs in any of his last six starts while turning in a 2.56 ERA, 2.39 FIP, and 2.3% barrel rate. The market is underpricing him against a slumping L.A. lineup (91 wRC+ in the last 14 days; Pittsburgh 104).

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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Aug 21 • 10:10 PM ET
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Jon Metler image
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst

Matthew Boyd has been struggling of late, serving up four home runs and seven earned runs in his last outing. But that poor performance may be exactly why we're catching an edge in the market for his next start, and I think the ballpark sets up well for him to bounce back. Boyd is known as a fly-ball pitcher, which makes him more vulnerable depending on the ballpark and weather conditions. A start at T-Mobile Park, where the marine layer can limit the carry on fly balls, is ideal for his pitching profile. Boyd's numbers haven't been great this season, but many of his poor outings have come at Wrigley Field. On the road, he's sporting a 2.57 ERA with just two home runs allowed, compared to 11 home runs allowed at Wrigley. The Cubs are trading at 51 cents on Polymarket, but I make them closer to a 54-cent favorite.

Total Bases
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch o1.5 Total Bases (+156)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Michael Busch is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, T-Mobile Park has the 10th-lowest average fence height.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield among all major league parks — generally good for HRs.. This contest is predicted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?

MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.

How To Use MLB Computer Picks

You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.

This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.

If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.

Moneyline

This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.

It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.

Run line

The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.

The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.

Totals (Over/Under)

Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

More MLB Picks & Betting Tools

NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks

A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.

First Five Innings MLB Picks

The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.

MLB Picks And Parlays

If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.

But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.

If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.

MLB Player Props

Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?

You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.

MLB Futures Picks

Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.