MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 19, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Tue, May 19 • 4:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Miami Marlins logo o8.5 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

The Over has been thriving in the recent matchups, going 6-0-1 over the last seven head-to-head meetings.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-133)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 minutes ago
Eric Rosales image
Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst

Atlanta has won each of their last seven games against the Marlins following a loss.

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+255)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 42 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Coby Mayo in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Coby Mayo pulls many of his flyballs (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Coby Mayo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Griffin Jax who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the worst among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Junior Caminero pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-worst among every team today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

The Tigers are in the middle of a brutal 2-10 stretch, and I don't think Keider Montero is the pitcher to pull them out of it. His fifth percentile chase rate mixes with the Guardians' fifth-best chase rate like oil and water. Meanwhile, Parker Messick can manage a Detroit offense that's 26th in batting average vs. lefties.

Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo logo
Kyle Manzardo o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which generally leads to better offense.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 4th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 81°.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, May 19 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
JJ Bleday logo
JJ Bleday o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.41
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. JJ Bleday is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for lefty home runs.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.51
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #10 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in MLB — generally good for HRs.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 93°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Tue, May 19 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Brett Baty logo
Brett Baty o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Nationals Park has the 7th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games today at 95°.. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Washington Nationals.
Total Bases
CJ Abrams logo
CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games today at 95°.. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage over Nolan McLean today.. CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, May 19 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Trent Grisham logo
Trent Grisham o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.
Total Bases
Jazz Chisholm Jr. logo
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.57
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #5 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences in MLB.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the 3rd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 90°.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
2 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 4th-most favorable pitching conditions on the schedule today.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hurlers.. Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team playing today.
Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 3rd-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an advantage in today's game.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
David Hamilton logo
David Hamilton u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. David Hamilton is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Wrigley Field.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the strongest among all the teams playing today.
Total Hits
Michael Busch logo
Michael Busch u0.5 Total Hits (+145)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The 5th-deepest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Wrigley Field.. The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team playing today.
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, May 19 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.75
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena as the 19th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average skill.. Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.. The #9 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Brice Matthews logo
Brice Matthews o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.29
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #9 venue in the league for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Tue, May 19 • 7:45 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Total
Pittsburgh Pirates logo St. Louis Cardinals logo o8.0 (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
Robert Criscola image
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor

Matthew Liberatore is an auto-fade with a -7 pitching run value, ranking in the bottom seventh percentile. That goes double vs. a Pittsburgh lineup that's seventh in batting average. While Mitch Keller isn't nearly as bad as his opposite number, the Pirates' bullpen has been gasoline to a fire in May with a 4.76 xFIP, 26th in the majors.

Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 13th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. In MLB, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small but significant connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the highest humidity of all games today at 81%.. Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, May 19 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Freddy Fermin logo
Freddy Fermin u0.5 Total Hits (+100)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Freddy Fermin ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Freddy Fermin is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for pitching of all games on the slate today.
Total Hits
Miguel Andujar logo
Miguel Andujar u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to less offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-best for pitching of all games on the slate today.. Emmet Sheehan will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Andujar in today's game.
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