MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Apr 28 • 6:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Cleveland Guardians logo o7.5 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Bibee has surrendered 5 home runs in 30 innings this season, and Tampa's contact-heavy lineup strikes out the least of any team in baseball, meaning balls will be in play all night. 

Martinez has a 17.5% whiff rate and a 4.67 xERA, suggesting runs are coming his way too.

Two bullpens that cannot be trusted should also take the mound tonight in Cleveland; Tampa ranks 28th in baseball with a 5.44 xERA out of the pen, while Cleveland checks in at 16th. 

 

Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Tampa Bay Rays starter Nick Martinez is dealing, but carries a 4.67 xERA with a 10th percentile whiff rate, meaning his strong ERA is living on borrowed time. Neither pen is an absolute, but Cleveland's is clearly the lesser evil. Back the Guardians to bounce back at home.

 

View 12 Picks
Houston Astros logo HOU @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Apr 28 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Kai-Wei Teng
Total Hits
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Houston (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
View 10 Picks
St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Apr 28 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.. Oneil Cruz has strong power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (30.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Apr 28 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Spencer Steer logo
Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Total Hits
Jake McCarthy logo
Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team playing today.. Jake McCarthy is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Cincinnati (#3-best of the day).. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.
View 10 Picks
San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Apr 28 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+152)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
Total Hits
Jerar Encarnacion logo
Jerar Encarnacion u0.5 Total Hits (+105)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jerar Encarnacion is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Jerar Encarnacion will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
View 7 Picks
Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Apr 28 • 7:07 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total Hits
Eloy Jimenez logo
Eloy Jimenez u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
View 10 Picks
Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Apr 28 • 7:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
James Wood logo
James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage over Clay Holmes today.. James Wood has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (29.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Clay Holmes doesn't generate many whiffs (11th percentile K%) — great news for Wood.. James Wood has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast projects the 3rd-coldest temperature of the day at 58°.. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien today.
View 9 Picks
Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Apr 28 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 33 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.5-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for hurlers.. Jahmai Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+195)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Olson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Hits
Colson Montgomery logo
Colson Montgomery u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Colson Montgomery's batting average talent is projected to be in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
View 10 Picks
Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Bauers's BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll logo
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 19 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Corbin Carroll will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick today.
View 10 Picks
Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 27 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Joe Ryan) in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
New York Yankees logo NYY @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Apr 28 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ben Rice projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jacob deGrom throws from, Ben Rice will have the upper hand today.. Among all the teams playing today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the the Texas Rangers.
View 10 Picks
Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Apr 28 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+171)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.3-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong today.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.
View 10 Picks
Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Apr 28 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Muncy is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+134)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Michael Massey is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Aaron Civale.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today's matchup.
View 10 Picks
Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Apr 28 • 10:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker u0.5 Total Hits (+179)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Will Smith logo
Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 19th-best batter in the league.. Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
View 8 Picks

What are Covers’ MLB Free picks and predictions?

Covers’ has more than 25 years of experience making smart MLB picks from the season’s first pitch to the World Series.

We find the best MLB odds and share our picks and baseball best bets for all the significant games of the baseball season right here on this page.

Our picks are researched and analyzed by experienced sports bettors looking for an edge to get the best value from their MLB betting.

Free MLB Expert Picks

Making smart MLB picks means looking beyond the favorites. Our free expert baseball picks will include a wide variety of bet types and markets.

Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.