MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 28, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Apr 28 • 6:10 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Tampa Bay Rays logo Cleveland Guardians logo o7.5 (+102)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Bibee has surrendered 5 home runs in 30 innings this season, and Tampa's contact-heavy lineup strikes out the least of any team in baseball, meaning balls will be in play all night. 

Martinez has a 17.5% whiff rate and a 4.67 xERA, suggesting runs are coming his way too.

Two bullpens that cannot be trusted should also take the mound tonight in Cleveland; Tampa ranks 28th in baseball with a 5.44 xERA out of the pen, while Cleveland checks in at 16th. 

 

Moneyline
Cleveland Guardians logo CLE (-130)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Tampa Bay Rays starter Nick Martinez is dealing, but carries a 4.67 xERA with a 10th percentile whiff rate, meaning his strong ERA is living on borrowed time. Neither pen is an absolute, but Cleveland's is clearly the lesser evil. Back the Guardians to bounce back at home.

 

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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Tue, Apr 28 • 6:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers u0.5 Total Hits (+122)
Projection 0.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Dylan Beavers is an extreme flyball batter and faces the strong outfield defense of Houston (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+166)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Pete Alonso will have a disadvantage in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Tue, Apr 28 • 6:40 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Ryan O'Hearn logo
Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Cincinnati Reds logo CIN Tue, Apr 28 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.31
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 8th-best batter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. This contest is projected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Tomoyuki Sugano.. Elly De La Cruz has a ton of pop (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Tomoyuki Sugano struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+104)
Projection 2.34
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average skill, Sal Stewart is projected as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. This contest is projected to have the 14th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Sal Stewart has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Sal Stewart will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Apr 28 • 6:40 PM ET
7 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jerar Encarnacion logo
Jerar Encarnacion u0.5 Total Hits (+115)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jerar Encarnacion is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Jerar Encarnacion will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Kyle Schwarber logo
Kyle Schwarber u0.5 Total Hits (+152)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Apr 28 • 7:07 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total Hits
Eloy Jimenez logo
Eloy Jimenez u0.5 Total Hits (+114)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Eloy Jimenez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 57°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Among every team playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ New York Mets logo NYM Tue, Apr 28 • 7:10 PM ET
9 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Marcus Semien logo
Marcus Semien u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Semien today.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Juan Soto will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Apr 28 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Matt Olson logo
Matt Olson u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Matt Olson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game.
Total Hits
Jahmai Jones logo
Jahmai Jones u0.5 Total Hits (+176)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jahmai Jones will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.6
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jake Bauers's BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Total Bases
Ketel Marte logo
Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+136)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 15th-best hitter in the game.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The American Family Field roof figures to be closed today, making conditions in this game 8° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Tue, Apr 28 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 36 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Apr 28 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hitting from the same side that Cam Schlitter throws from, Josh Jung meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 32 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ San Diego Padres logo SD Tue, Apr 28 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+165)
Projection 0.81
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.8-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong today.
Total Bases
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Tue, Apr 28 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Michael Massey logo
Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Michael Massey is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Extreme groundball batters like Michael Massey tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Aaron Civale.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Michael Massey in today's matchup.
Total Hits
Max Muncy logo
Max Muncy u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Max Muncy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.. Dry weather has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report expects the least humid conditions on the slate today at 19%.. Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD Tue, Apr 28 • 10:10 PM ET
8 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Will Smith logo
Will Smith o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 19th-best batter in the league.. Will Smith is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Will Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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