Chicago @ Milwaukee Picks & Props

CHC vs MIL Picks

MLB Picks
Total Singles
Kyle Tucker logo Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total Singles (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Kyle Tucker is one of the few Cubs who has enjoyed success against Freddy Peralta, going 5-11 with four singles. Peralta gives up less power, but a higher average, against left-handed bats like Tucker.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jackson Chourio logo Jackson Chourio o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Jackson Chourio was lethal against left-handed pitchers during the regular season, hitting .343 with a .241 ISO. He also excels against Matthew Boyd's two most-used pitches, tilting the scales in his favor in this matchup.

Earned Runs Allowed
Freddy Peralta logo Freddy Peralta u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-113)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Freddy Peralta allowed multiple runs in only three of 17 home starts during the regular season. Well rested and prepared for an opponent he's enjoyed plenty of success against, the Under trend should continue in Game 1.

Hit a Home Run
Jackson Chourio logo Jackson Chourio Hit a Home Run (Yes: +475)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Another Brewers hitter to consider is Jackson Chourio. Ending the regular season in good form, Chourio hit one home run over the final two games.

He posted a .300 batting average, .700 slugging percentage, and 1.000 OPS over that span.

Strikeouts Thrown
Freddy Peralta logo Freddy Peralta o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Peralta's greatest strength is retiring hitters via strikeout, ranking in the 83rd percentile in whiff rate and 84th percentile in strikeout rate. As a result, Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his past five starts (excluding his limited two-inning appearance in the season’s relatively meaningless finale).

This success is likely to continue against Chicago, a team he has dominated over their past six meetings. Peralta is 4-1 over that stretch with a 2.67 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, and 10.96 strikeouts per nine innings.

From the other perspective, the current Cubs roster has a strikeout rate of 29.3% and a whiff rate of 29.9% through 205 combined plate appearances against Peralta.

Strikeouts Thrown
Freddy Peralta logo
Freddy Peralta u6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-145)
Projection 5.33 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Freddy Peralta is expected to throw 81 pitches today, which is the 2nd-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.. It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) behind the plate in this game.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Freddy Peralta's slider rate has fallen by 12% from last year to this one (21.6% to 9.6%) .
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.65 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+233)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Total RBIs
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+177)
Projection 0.64 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.61 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Andrew Vaughn logo
Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andrew Vaughn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Outs Recorded
Freddy Peralta logo
Freddy Peralta u14.5 Outs Recorded (+130)
Projection 13.56 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Freddy Peralta is expected to throw 81 pitches today, which is the 2nd-highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.. The 3rd-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the Chicago Cubs.. It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Edwin Moscoso) behind the plate in this game.. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jake Bauers logo
Jake Bauers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.28 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.76 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total Bases (-132)
Projection 1.46 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.
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CHC vs MIL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

69% picking Milwaukee

31%
69%

Total PicksCHC 244, MIL 549

Moneyline
CHC
MIL

CHC vs MIL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.75
Best Odds

American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Shaw has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks. Matt Shaw has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 84.6-mph average.

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.75
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.75

American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Shaw has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks. Matt Shaw has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.5-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 84.6-mph average.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 16.7%. As it relates to plate discipline, Carson Kelly's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 79th percentile.

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.7% to 16.7%. As it relates to plate discipline, Carson Kelly's talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.76 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 79th percentile.

Blake Perkins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Blake Perkins
B. Perkins
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.65
Best Odds

American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Blake Perkins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.65
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.65

American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Matthew Boyd. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Blake Perkins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.79
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Dansby Swanson's launch angle from last year's 10.2° to 13.6° this season.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.79
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.79

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dansby Swanson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. There has been a significant improvement in Dansby Swanson's launch angle from last year's 10.2° to 13.6° this season.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.07
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.07
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.07

When it comes to his batting average ability, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the league. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Seiya Suzuki hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game. The Barrel% of Pete Crow-Armstrong has significantly improved, with an increase from 8% last year to 13.2% this season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.76
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.76

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game. The Barrel% of Pete Crow-Armstrong has significantly improved, with an increase from 8% last year to 13.2% this season.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.73
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.73
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.73

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Brice Turang Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Brice Turang
B. Turang
second base 2B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Brice Turang

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Brice Turang is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

William Contreras Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

William Contreras
W. Contreras
catcher C • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.96
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, William Contreras will have the upper hand today.

William Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.96
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.96

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, William Contreras will have the upper hand today.

Sal Frelick Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Sal Frelick
S. Frelick
right outfield RF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Sal Frelick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

Kyle Tucker projects as the 10th-best batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

Andrew Vaughn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an edge in today's matchup.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

Andrew Vaughn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an edge in today's matchup.

Caleb Durbin Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Caleb Durbin
C. Durbin
third base 3B • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.82
Best Odds

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Caleb Durbin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Caleb Durbin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.82
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.82

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Caleb Durbin will have an advantage in today's matchup. Caleb Durbin hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 8th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jake Bauers
J. Bauers
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Bauers has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph mark. Jake Bauers has compiled a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.51
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.51

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jake Bauers will hold that advantage in today's game. Jake Bauers has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph mark. Jake Bauers has compiled a .338 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 83rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Isaac Collins Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Isaac Collins
I. Collins
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.77
Best Odds

Isaac Collins is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Isaac Collins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Matthew Boyd in this game.

Isaac Collins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.77

Isaac Collins is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Isaac Collins will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Matthew Boyd in this game.

Jackson Chourio Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Jackson Chourio
J. Chourio
center outfield CF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.06
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand today.

Jackson Chourio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.06
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.06

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Jackson Chourio will have the upper hand today.

Christian Yelich Total Hits Props • Milwaukee

Christian Yelich
C. Yelich
left outfield LF • Milwaukee
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 10th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Christian Yelich

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 10th-best batter in the league when assessing his BABIP skill. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. American Family Field has the shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.78
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.78
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.78

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Freddy Peralta in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders

Milwaukee Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 9-1-0 +27055
2 LuckyGuy 3-7-0 +21010
3 Ollywood 4-6-0 +19651
4 luke44 2-7-1 +18810
5 declin005 5-5-0 +18675
6 ronebme 7-3-0 +18055
7 joe pockets 7-3-0 +17000
8 peede 5-5-0 +16645
9 longball44 7-3-0 +16480
10 djgarcia 7-3-0 +16030
All Brewers Money Leaders
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