MONEYLINE
AZ
+145 moneyline
AZ
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-6.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
AZ
+145 moneyline
Close Modal
AZ
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-6.06%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+145
TOTAL
7.26
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
7.08%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
7.26
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
7.08%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u7.5
-125
SPREAD
AZ
+1.5 spread
0.62
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
1.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
AZ
+1.5 spread
Close Modal
0.62
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
1.21%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
+1.5
-150
TOTAL HITS
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
13.28%
EV
Michael Busch is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
u0.5
+160
TOTAL HITS
0.74
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
3.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.74
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
3.07%
EV
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
u0.5
+126
TOTAL HITS
0.75
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.85%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.75
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.85%
EV
Geraldo Perdomo's BABIP ability is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field ranks as the #23 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Shota Imanaga today.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the best among all the teams playing today.
u0.5
+125
TOTAL HITS
1.01
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.32%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
1.01
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
1.32%
EV
Wrigley Field ranks as the #23 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. In the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power).
u0.5
+190
TOTAL HITS
0.92
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.31%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.92
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
1.31%
EV
Wrigley Field ranks as the #23 field in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the best among all the teams playing today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today's game.. There has been a significant decline in Ketel Marte's launch angle from last year's 15.3° to 7.6° this season.
u0.5
+165
TOTAL HITS
0.75
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.75
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.09%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for lefty batting average.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Carroll today.. In today's matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (83rd percentile).. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the best among all the teams playing today.
u0.5
+120
TOTAL BASES
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.92%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.92%
EV
Michael Busch is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
u1.5
-165
TOTAL BASES
0.75
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
10.62%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.75
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
10.62%
EV
Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Carroll today.. In today's matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (83rd percentile).
u1.5
-220
TOTAL BASES
0.76
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.76
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.56%
EV
Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
u1.5
-230
TOTAL BASES
0.74
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.85%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.74
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
7.85%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
u1.5
-260
TOTAL BASES
0.75
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.8%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.75
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.8%
EV
As it relates to his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Shota Imanaga today.
u1.5
-300
TOTAL BASES
1.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.45%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.45%
EV
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
o1.5
+170
TOTAL BASES
1.21
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.41%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.21
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.41%
EV
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.7°, Dansby Swanson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19° figure in the past 7 days.. Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .240 figure is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
o1.5
+190
TOTAL BASES
1.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.41%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.14
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.41%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Carson Kelly is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.. Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
u1.5
-270
TOTAL BASES
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.72
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fernandez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Jose Fernandez will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.. Jose Fernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
o1.5
+202
TOTAL BASES
0.59
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
0.59
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, James McCann will have an edge today.. James McCann's 91.8-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the majors since the start of last season: 91st percentile.
o1.5
+250
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.22
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.22
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
4.66%
EV
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best batter in the league.. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Shota Imanaga.. Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
o0.5
+457
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.98%
EV
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Nolan Arenado has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the past 14 days.. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 85.8-mph.
o0.5
+790
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.11%
EV
Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Shota Imanaga will hold the platoon advantage over Corbin Carroll today.. In today's matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.1% rate (83rd percentile).. Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll today.
u0.5
-752
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.38%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.38%
EV
Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.5% — 97th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.4% to 10.8%.
u0.5
-847
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.6%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
-3.6%
EV
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Barrosa ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Barrosa is projected to bat 9th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jorge Barrosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
u0.5
-2000
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.72%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.06
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.72%
EV
As it relates to his home run skill, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side against Shota Imanaga today.. Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
u0.5
-1695
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.98%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-3.98%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ildemaro Vargas in the 8th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ildemaro Vargas today.. Ildemaro Vargas has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.
u0.5
-1299
TOTAL HOME RUNS
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-4.77%
EV
When estimating his overall offensive talent, James McCann ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. James McCann is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. James McCann has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
u0.5
-1299
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
4.79
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.23%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
4.79
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.23%
EV
Gabe Morales profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in this game.. Wrigley Field projects as the #5 park in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Ryne Nelson's 95.5-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 79th percentile out of all SPs.
o4.5
+107
TOTAL RBIS
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.08%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
6.08%
EV
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.7°, Dansby Swanson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19° figure in the past 7 days.. Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .240 figure is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
o0.5
+240
TOTAL RBIS
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.73%
EV
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 85.8-mph.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.4% on the season to 55.2% over the past 14 days.
o0.5
+256
TOTAL RBIS
0.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an advantage in today's game.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.
o0.5
+246
TOTAL RBIS
0.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.26%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
0.38
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.26%
EV
Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Shota Imanaga.. Ildemaro Vargas pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Ildemaro Vargas are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.
o0.5
+230
TOTAL RBIS
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.17%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.40
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-0.17%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's game.
o0.5
+215
TOTAL RBIS
0.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.39
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.07%
EV
In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. Carson Kelly has notched a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.. Carson Kelly has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.
o0.5
+215
TOTAL RBIS
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.41
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-2.76%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Michael Busch has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, Michael Busch's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 20%.
o0.5
+200
TOTAL RBIS
0.30
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.51%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.30
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.51%
EV
Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
u0.5
-300
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.07%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.07%
EV
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
o1.5
+103
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.76%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.59
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.76%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Over the past 7 days, Corbin Carroll's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 103.7-mph recently.. Based on Statcast data, Corbin Carroll grades out in the 95th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .378.
o1.5
+125
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.55
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.34%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.55
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
1.34%
EV
Michael Busch is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 5th-deepest right field fences among all parks.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
u1.5
-105
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.46
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
0.83%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.46
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
0.83%
EV
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga in today's matchup.. Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Nolan Arenado has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal mark of 85.8-mph.. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 49.4% on the season to 55.2% over the past 14 days.
o1.5
+145
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
0.56%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
1.51
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
0.56%
EV
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to his seasonal average of 13.7°, Dansby Swanson has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19° figure in the past 7 days.. Dansby Swanson has had some very poor luck with his batting average since the start of last season; his .240 figure is deflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
o1.5
+135
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.87%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.87%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Ryne Nelson.. Ian Happ will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. As it relates to his batting average, Ian Happ has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .240 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.
o1.5
+105
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.48%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.42
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-5.48%
EV
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Based on Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo is in the 85th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.. In notching a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Geraldo Perdomo has performed in the 84th percentile.. Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a .359 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile.
o1.5
+135
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.47
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.73%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.47
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-5.73%
EV
In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field's left field dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's game.. Based on Statcast data, Carson Kelly ranks in the 77th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.. Carson Kelly has notched a .342 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.. Carson Kelly has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.62 K/BB rate.
o1.5
+125
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.32
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.93%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.32
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.93%
EV
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fernandez in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to better offense.. Jose Fernandez will have the handedness advantage against Shota Imanaga today.. Jose Fernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
o1.5
+155
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
1.60
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.51%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
1.60
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.51%
EV
This year, Moises Ballesteros has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 47% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. Wrigley Field grades out as the #28 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
u1.5
-120