St. Louis @ Chicago Picks & Props

STL vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Total
St. Louis Cardinals logo Chicago Cubs logo o9.5 (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
Tony Sartori image
Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst

Neither starting pitcher's peripherals are encouraging, and we should see plenty of runs hit Wrigley Field this afternoon with Michael McGreevy and Jameson Taillon on the respective mounds .

Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+197)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+223)
Projection 0.51 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Jordan Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30° figure over the past 7 days.. Despite posting a .257 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has had some very poor luck given the .054 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera logo
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+161)
Projection 0.62 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Ivan Herrera has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+124)
Projection 0.77 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in baseball.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game.
Total RBIs
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days.
Total RBIs
Ian Happ logo
Ian Happ o0.5 Total RBIs (+139)
Projection 0.68 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Michael McGreevy.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.. Over the last two weeks, Alec Burleson's 56.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.5%.
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+123)
Projection 0.73 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Extreme groundball hitters like Seiya Suzuki generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael McGreevy.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Nolan Gorman logo
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 2.05 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar logo
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+117)
Projection 2.06 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.5% seasonal rate to 40% in the past 7 days.
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STL vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

68% picking Chi. Cubs

32%
68%

Total PicksSTL 180, CHC 374

Moneyline
STL
CHC
Moneyline

STL vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jimmy Crooks Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jimmy Crooks
J. Crooks
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.91
Best Odds

Jimmy Crooks's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Jimmy Crooks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.

Jimmy Crooks logo

Jimmy Crooks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.91
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.91

Jimmy Crooks's BABIP ability is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Jimmy Crooks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.

Victor Scott II Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Victor Scott II
V. Scott II
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.81
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today. Victor Scott II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Scott II's 80% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Victor Scott II logo

Victor Scott II

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.81
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.81

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand today. Victor Scott II has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. In the past week's worth of games, Victor Scott II's 80% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.4%.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Gorman
N. Gorman
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.86
Best Odds

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (44.9° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 22° seasonal angle.

Nolan Gorman logo

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.86
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.86

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman's launch angle lately (44.9° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 22° seasonal angle.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.16
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game.

Kyle Tucker logo

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.16
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.16

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best batter in baseball. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Kyle Tucker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael McGreevy in today's game.

Thomas Saggese Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Thomas Saggese
T. Saggese
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. In the past week's worth of games, Thomas Saggese's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 92.3-mph lately. Thomas Saggese's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 49.2% on the season to 62.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Thomas Saggese logo

Thomas Saggese

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. In the past week's worth of games, Thomas Saggese's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 92.3-mph lately. Thomas Saggese's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, going from 49.2% on the season to 62.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

Lars Nootbaar logo

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jordan Walker
J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Jordan Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30° figure over the past 7 days.

Jordan Walker logo

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.94
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.94

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Compared to his seasonal average of 10.7°, Jordan Walker has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 30° figure over the past 7 days.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.08
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Michael McGreevy.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.08
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.08

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Michael McGreevy.

Ivan Herrera Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Ivan Herrera
I. Herrera
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.17
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Ivan Herrera has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days.

Ivan Herrera logo

Ivan Herrera

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.17
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.17

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Ivan Herrera has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 7 days.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Alec Burleson
A. Burleson
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.17
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

Alec Burleson logo

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.17
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.17

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.

Pedro Pages Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Pedro Pages
P. Pages
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.84
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Pedro Pages logo

Pedro Pages

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.84
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.84

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.11
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.11
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.11

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado
N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.01
Best Odds

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Nolan Arenado logo

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.01
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.01

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Nolan Arenado pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.89
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Matt Shaw pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 12.5%.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.89
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.89

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Matt Shaw pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Matt Shaw will hold that advantage today. Over the past 7 days, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7% up to 12.5%.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.22
Best Odds

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.22
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.22

As it relates to his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 12th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.97
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.97
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.97

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.12
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.12

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Busch is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's game.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.93
Best Odds

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly is positioned in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.93
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.93

Wrigley Field has the 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup. With a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Carson Kelly is positioned in the 78th percentile for hitting ability.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.92
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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St. Louis Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 alltalc 7-3-0 +20715
2 Jackson2399 7-3-0 +17017
3 deweyay9 5-5-0 +16133
4 steelsteve 5-5-0 +14620
5 mrmac4224 6-4-0 +13709
6 Jerrybook 9-1-0 +13100
7 cheeser 7-3-0 +12475
8 mikers 9-1-0 +12375
9 northlv6238 7-3-0 +11580
10 YAL15M 6-4-0 +10655
All Cardinals Money Leaders

Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
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