San Diego @ New York Picks & Props

Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brett Baty generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brett Baty has been unlucky this year. His .326 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Jake Cronenworth's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 14.2% on the season to 25% in the last week. As it relates to plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth's ability is quite impressive, posting a 1.47 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 90th percentile.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Cedric Mullins has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.9-mph average. In the past week's worth of games, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 15°.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. This season, Gavin Sheets has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 90.8 mph mark. Last season, Gavin Sheets had an average launch angle of 9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 12.4°.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Jackson Merrill has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 13% seasonal rate to 45.5% over the past 7 days. Jackson Merrill has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph EV.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Luis Arraez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Luis Arraez has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Luis Arraez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 88.4-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 85.8-mph.

Elias Diaz will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson in today's game. Elias Diaz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. Elias Diaz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average. Elias Diaz's launch angle this year (18.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 7.3° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage today. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 88.7-mph mark. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 13.4% to 16.9%.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mark Vientos is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Mark Vientos hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Mark Vientos will hold that advantage today. Mark Vientos has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 95.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Ramon Laureano will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Nick Pivetta in today's matchup. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Juan Soto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batters such as Starling Marte with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nick Pivetta who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Starling Marte will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jose Iglesias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Jose Iglesias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Iglesias's true offensive ability to be a .285, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .025 difference between that figure and his actual .260 wOBA.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Manny Machado will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among all the teams playing today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Pete Alonso will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. The Barrel% of Pete Alonso has significantly improved, with an increase from 13.2% last year to 18.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage today. Francisco Lindor has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week.

Among all major league parks, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Nick Pivetta throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. As it relates to plate discipline, Jeff McNeil's talent is quite impressive, putting up a 1.04 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 99th percentile.

Hayden Senger has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.