Atlanta @ New York picks

Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s BABIP skill is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nacho Alvarez Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's shallowest CF fences today. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. In the last week's worth of games, Nacho Alvarez Jr.'s 60% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20%.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Extreme groundball hitters like Cedric Mullins usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Nick Allen has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23.8° figure in the past two weeks' worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Vidal Brujan will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Kodai Senga. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. This season, Vidal Brujan has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.9 mph compared to last year's 85.3 mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Matt Olson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Alvarez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. In the past two weeks, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph of late.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in baseball. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Juan Soto will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Juan Soto hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder today. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Michael Harris II will have an edge in today's matchup. Michael Harris II has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Drake Baldwin's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Drake Baldwin is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Kodai Senga throws from, Drake Baldwin will have the upper hand in today's game.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among all the teams playing today. Ozzie Albies has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 90.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 87.6-mph mark. Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 40.8% on the season to 51.3% over the last 14 days.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Bryce Elder. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage in today's game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Luis Torrens will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.343) provides evidence that Luis Torrens has experienced some negative variance this year with his .263 actual wOBA. Luis Torrens's 12.4% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile this year.

The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Brett Baty will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Brett Baty has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last year to 13.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past week, Starling Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 33.3%.

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences among all parks. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Bryce Elder throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage today.