Arizona @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
AZ vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Total Hits


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Earned Runs Allowed


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Total Bases


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Ketel Marte has performed at a clip of 33.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Adrian Del Castillo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Adrian Del Castillo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Marcus Semien o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today.. There has been a significant improvement in Marcus Semien's launch angle from last season's 16.7° to 19.7° this year.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18°) is significantly higher than his 14.8° angle last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .325, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .041 disparity between that figure and his actual .284 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Tyler Locklear o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.. In the last week, Tyler Locklear's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.3-mph in recent games.. Tyler Locklear's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.06 ft/sec now.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jonah Heim o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has suffered from bad luck given the .019 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.
Total Bases

Joc Pederson o0.5 Total Bases (-137)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rowdy Tellez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Rowdy Tellez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last season to 15.7% this year.. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 12% to 18.9%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ketel Marte o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game.. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Globe Life Field is the 6th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.. Ketel Marte has performed at a clip of 33.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 96th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.