Arizona @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. In the last week, Tyler Locklear's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.3-mph in recent games. Tyler Locklear's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.06 ft/sec now.

The switch-hitting Jose Herrera will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Nathan Eovaldi. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Jose Herrera grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.7% rate this year).

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 13% to 20.4%. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 20.4% on the season to 37.5% over the last 7 days. Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a .283 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 16.7%. In the last 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 100.5-mph lately.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Joc Pederson will hold that advantage today. Joc Pederson has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks.

Blaze Alexander's BABIP skill is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Blaze Alexander has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last year to 13.6% this year. Blaze Alexander has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.3-mph average to last season's 88.5-mph figure. Blaze Alexander has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 95.4-mph over the past week.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge today. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. In the last week's worth of games, Corbin Carroll's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 28.6%.

Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge today. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Alek Thomas has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 91.9-mph. Alek Thomas's launch angle in recent games (6.6° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 3.5° seasonal angle.

Jonah Heim will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonah Heim has suffered from bad luck given the .019 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game. Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Ketel Marte has notched a .394 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 97th percentile. By putting up a 1.1 K/BB rate this year, Ketel Marte has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 96th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Rowdy Tellez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Rowdy Tellez has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last season to 15.7% this year. Rowdy Tellez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 12% to 18.9%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.245) may lead us to conclude that Rowdy Tellez has been unlucky this year with his .223 actual batting average.

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Josh Jung has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last year's 86.2-mph EV. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 18.9% on the season to 30% in the last 7 days. Josh Jung has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .297 mark is a fair amount lower than his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the majors. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Corey Seager will have an advantage in today's matchup. Corey Seager will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive talent to be a .379, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .021 deviation between that figure and his actual .358 wOBA.

Adrian Del Castillo is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Adrian Del Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Adrian Del Castillo are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. Adrian Del Castillo's launch angle of late (32.3° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 27.2° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today's game. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 10th-weakest out of all the teams in action today. This season, Jake McCarthy has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91.7 mph compared to last year's 87.1 mph mark. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.283) provides evidence that Jake McCarthy has had some very poor luck this year with his .232 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Wyatt Langford has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.2-mph EV. Over the past 14 days, Wyatt Langford's 61.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.6%.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Josh Smith will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 104.1-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.8-mph. Sporting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Josh Smith has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (18°) is significantly higher than his 14.8° angle last season. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Adolis Garcia's true offensive talent to be a .325, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .041 disparity between that figure and his actual .284 wOBA. Adolis Garcia's 92.4-mph average exit velocity is among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 92nd percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Marcus Semien's launch angle from last season's 16.7° to 19.7° this year. Marcus Semien's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 18.1% on the season to 27.8% in the last 7 days.