Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
PIT vs MIL Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Joey Bart o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Joey Bart is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Joey Bart has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 93-mph average.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Chad Patrick in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Chad Patrick u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 15.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Chad Patrick (39.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 GB hitters in Pittsburgh's projected batting order.. Among all starters, Chad Patrick's fastball velocity of 86.9 mph grades out in the 2nd percentile this year.
Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the majors's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense.. Oneil Cruz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Adam Frazier o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-167)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand today.. Adam Frazier has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 1.1% seasonal rate to 8.3% in the past week's worth of games.. Over the last 7 days, Adam Frazier's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.6-mph of late.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-106)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation in the majors, which tends to lead to more offense.. Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Joey Bart o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+116)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Joey Bart is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.. The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in MLB are found in American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest fences among all parks.. Joey Bart has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.9-mph average to last season's 93-mph average.