Toronto @ Minnesota props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in baseball when estimating his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.5% seasonal rate to 22% in the last two weeks. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.4-mph average. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 46.9% on the season to 54% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. The Barrel% of George Springer has significantly improved, with an increase from 9.3% last year to 21.8% this year. George Springer has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 21.8% seasonal rate to 30.2% in the past two weeks. George Springer has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Larnach will hold that advantage today. In the last two weeks, Trevor Larnach's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.9%.

Willi Castro is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Willi Castro has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last week's worth of games. In the last two weeks, Willi Castro's 27.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19%. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Willi Castro sits with a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge in today's matchup. Andres Gimenez is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP. Extreme flyball batters like Andres Gimenez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Andres Gimenez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last season's 88.8-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In comparison to his 85.3-mph average last year, Ernie Clement's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 88 mph. Compared to last year, Ernie Clement has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.6% to 49.7% this season. In the past 7 days, Ernie Clement's 70.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.7%. Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .309 mark is deflated compared to his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Matt Wallner is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Wallner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Matt Wallner's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 46.2%. Matt Wallner has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 101.4-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Alejandro Kirk has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 89.3-mph mark. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 100-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 93.4-mph EV. Alejandro Kirk's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 42.3% to 52.1%.

Kevin Gausman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Royce Lewis has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 95.8-mph over the last 7 days. In the last 14 days, Royce Lewis's 39.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.4%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.246) implies that Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .214 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Ty France is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ty France will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.344) implies that Ty France has been unlucky this year with his .315 actual wOBA.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Ryan Jeffers will not have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last two weeks, Ryan Jeffers's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.2-mph over the course of the season to 99-mph in recent games. Using Statcast metrics, Ryan Jeffers grades out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .340.

Brooks Lee is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today. Brooks Lee's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 15.6% to 21.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Bichette as the 10th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent. Bo Bichette is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Bo Bichette's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.3% up to 25%. Bo Bichette has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.2-mph mark. Bo Bichette has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.7-mph average.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Harrison Bader faces a tough challenge in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Harrison Bader will hold that advantage today. Harrison Bader has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.9-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.5-mph. Harrison Bader has notched a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kody Clemens has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.4-mph average to last year's 93.8-mph mark. Sporting a .326 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Kody Clemens finds himself in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an edge today. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball bats like Nathan Lukes are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. Over the last week, Nathan Lukes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.2-mph over the course of the season to 91.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The switch-hitting Jonatan Clase will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Bailey Ober. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jonatan Clase has posted a 26.6° launch angle, lifting the ball well and indicating strong home run potential.

Addison Barger has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Addison Barger will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Barrel% of Addison Barger has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.8% last year to 15.2% this year. Addison Barger has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Christian Vazquez meets a tough challenge in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Christian Vazquez will hold that advantage today. When it comes to his batting average, Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .218 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Batting from the same side that Kevin Gausman throws from, Byron Buxton will not have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage in today's game. Placing in the 94th percentile, Byron Buxton has posted a .337 BABIP since the start of last season.

Carlos Correa has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.