Colorado @ Chicago props

Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this contest predicts the lowest temperature on the schedule today at 59°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Kyle Tucker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Kyle Tucker's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 44.9% to 38.8%. Kyle Tucker's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to evaluate power) has been 108.1 mph this year, placing in the 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 77th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has suffered from bad luck given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Adael Amador will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cade Horton. Adael Amador has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .071 discrepancy.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.1% to 48.5%.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Ryan McMahon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.1% to 18.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Matt Shaw will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Matt Shaw is notably toolsy, placing in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.9 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. In comparison to his 88.7-mph average last year, Ezequiel Tovar's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, now sitting at 91.3 mph.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Hunter Goodman's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 33.6% to 40.5%. Checking in at the 96th percentile, the hardest ball Hunter Goodman has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.2 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against German Marquez today. Ian Happ has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the handedness advantage over German Marquez in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Carson Kelly will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Carson Kelly has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.6% rate last year to 15% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nico Hoerner will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. With a .293 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Nico Hoerner has performed in the 95th percentile. When it comes to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner's skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.5 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 84th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Jordan Beck is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jordan Beck has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last season to 18.8% this year.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Mickey Moniak will have the upper hand today. Mickey Moniak has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph average. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.242) suggests that Mickey Moniak has experienced some negative variance this year with his .217 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Michael Busch will hold the platoon advantage against German Marquez today. Michael Busch is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Batting from the opposite that German Marquez throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nick Martini will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's game.