Colorado @ Chicago picks

Dansby Swanson has two home runs in his last nine contests, and my MLB picks say there’s reason to believe he could hit No. 12 tonight. The Cubs host the Colorado Rockies, and they send German Marquez to the bump. He’s having a nightmare season with an ERA over seven, and that inflates to 11.12 on the road. Swanson has raked against Marquez, going 4-for-7 with a home run in his career. Eight of Swanson’s long balls are against right-handed hurlers, as well.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 10th-best batter in the league.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against German Marquez in today's game.. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Tucker can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Cade Horton is projected to throw 82 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.. It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

As it relates to his home run talent, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Among all major league parks, Wrigley Field's LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.. Despite posting a .271 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has suffered from bad luck given the .036 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.. This year, Brenton Doyle's 12.7% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.1% to 48.5%.

When assessing his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Cade Horton throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an edge in today's matchup.. Ryan McMahon has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The switch-hitting Adael Amador will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Cade Horton.. Adael Amador has been unlucky this year, compiling a .219 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .071 discrepancy.