2026 MLB Draft Odds: Emerson a Virtual Lock to Land in Top 10

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst 11+ years betting experience
Updated: Jul 9, 2026 , 02:43 PM ET • 4 min read

Grady Emerson will likely go first overall to the Chicago White Sox. He's trading as a very heavy favorite to land in the Top 10.

MLB Draft odds 2026 Grady Emerson
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Grady Emerson during last year's Home Run Derby.

The 2026 MLB Draft is set for Saturday, July 11 and Sunday, July 12 in Philadelphia.

The latest MLB Draft odds at Polymarket see Grady Emerson as the clear-cut favorite to be taken in the Top 10.

Let's look at the current MLB odds.

2026 MLB Draft odds

Odds to be taken in Top 10 of MLB Draft

Player Polymarket
Grady Emerson -32333
Jackson Flora -108
Jacob Lombard -108
Vahn Lackey -108
Eric Booth Jr. +100
Derek Curiel +104
Cameron Flukey +108
Jared Gridlinger +108
AJ Gracia +108
Liam Peterson +108

Odds last updated on 7-9. Odds from Polymarket. Use our Polymarket promo code (COVERS) for a $50 trading bonus when you deposit at least $20 as a new user.

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Favorites to be picked Top 10 in the MLB Draft

Grady Emerson is trading at an overwhelming 99.7 cents, or -32333 in American odds (feel free to use our handy odds converter tool) to be drafted in the Top 10 of the 2026 MLB Draft. The 18-year-old shortstop from Fort Worth Christian (TX) will be drafted No. 1 overall in all likelihood by the Chicago White Sox, as he's the top-ranked prospect at MLB.com.

The top pitcher in the market is Jackson Flora, a 21-year-old righty out of UC Santa Barbara, ranked No. 4 overall.

2026 MLB Draft order for first round 

Pick Team
1 White Sox Chicago White Sox 
2 Rays Tampa Bay Rays 
3 Twins Minnesota Twins
4 Giants San Francisco Giants
5 Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
6 Royals Kansas City Royals
7 Orioles Baltimore Orioles
8 Athletics Athletics
9 Braves Atlanta Braves
10 Rockies Colorado Rockies
11 Nationals Washington Nationals
12 Angels Los Angeles Angels
13 Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
14 Marlins Miami Marlins
15 Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
16 Rangers Texas Rangers
17 Astros Houston Astros
18 Reds Cincinnati Reds
19 Guardians Cleveland Guardians
20 Red Sox Boston Red Sox
21 Padres San Diego Padres
22 Tigers Detroit Tigers
23 Cubs Chicago Cubs
24 Mariners Seattle Mariners
25 Brewers Milwaukee Brewers
26 - Prospect Promotion Incentive Pick Braves Atlanta Braves
27 - Compensation Pick Astros Houston Astros
28 - Compensation Pick Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks
29 - Competitive Balance Round A Giants San Francisco Giants
30 - Competitive Balance Round A Royals Kansas City Royals
31 - Competitive Balance Round A Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals
32 - Competitive Balance Round A Rays Tampa Bay Rays 
33 - Competitive Balance Round A Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates
34 - Penalty Yankees New York Yankees
35 - Penalty Mets New York Mets
36 - Penalty Phillies Philadelphia Phillies
37 - Compensation Pick Rockies Colorado Rockies

Popular MLB futures markets


Recent MLB Draft history

Here is a look back at the last 10 first overall selections:

Year Player Position Team
2025 Eli Willits SS Nationals Nationals
2024 Travis Bazzana 2B Guardians Guardians
2023 Paul Skenes RHP Pirates Pirates
2022 Jackson Holliday SS Orioles Orioles
2021 Henry Davis C Pirates Pirates
2020 Spencer Torkelson 1B Tigers Tigers
2019 Adley Rutschman C Orioles Orioles
2018 Casey Mize RHP Tigers Tigers
2017 Royce Lewis SS Twins Twins
2016 Mickey Moniak CF Phillies Phillies

Pages related to this topic

Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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