Toronto @ Tampa Bay props

George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #21 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over Bo Bichette in today's game. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bo Bichette in today's matchup. Bo Bichette's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, going from 14% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Extreme flyball hitters like Junior Caminero usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Berrios. Junior Caminero will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 20th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an edge in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Chandler Simpson usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Berrios. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Chandler Simpson will hold that advantage today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. George Springer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. George Springer has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 9.3% rate last season to 18.1% this year. George Springer has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.8-mph average to last year's 93.2-mph average.

George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #21 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Shane Baz will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today. In today's game, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (83rd percentile). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

George M. Steinbrenner Field profiles as the #21 field in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hurlers. Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Yandy Diaz faces a tough challenge in today's game. Over the last week, Yandy Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%. Over the past week, Yandy Diaz's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 10.3%.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Anthony Santander has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 51° compared to his seasonal mark of 5.7°. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, putting up a .262 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .064 disparity.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz in today's game. Daulton Varsho pulls many of his flyballs (38.3% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Daulton Varsho has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.4% rate last year to 22.6% this season.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonatan Clase in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Jonatan Clase will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Shane Baz in today's game.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Lowe will have the upper hand in today's game. Brandon Lowe pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alejandro Kirk has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.8% seasonal rate to 25% over the past week.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Jose Caballero has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 89.4-mph. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 54.7%. Jose Caballero has posted a .318 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Nathan Lukes will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's matchup. Hitters such as Nathan Lukes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shane Baz who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Over the past 7 days, Nathan Lukes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 86.8-mph over the course of the season to 89.4-mph recently.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Addison Barger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Baz in today's game. Addison Barger has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV. Addison Barger has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 96.2-mph. Addison Barger has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .218 mark is considerably lower than his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Kameron Misner will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Kameron Misner will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ernie Clement's batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Ernie Clement's launch angle this year (21°) is significantly better than his 16.2° figure last season. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ernie Clement has suffered from bad luck this year. His .271 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Danny Jansen will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Danny Jansen has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year's 90.5-mph mark. Danny Jansen has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 94.2-mph. In terms of plate discipline, Danny Jansen's ability is quite strong, posting a 1.35 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 96th percentile.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 89°. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Taylor Walls has been unlucky this year. His .233 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .294.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.