San Diego @ New York Picks & Props

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Clarke Schmidt will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. today. In today's game, Fernando Tatis Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.2% rate (91st percentile).

The #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Batting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Manny Machado will have a disadvantage in today's game. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Ben Rice will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jorbit Vivas will have an advantage today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jorbit Vivas will hold that advantage today.

Gavin Sheets will have the handedness advantage over Clarke Schmidt today. Gavin Sheets pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Gavin Sheets has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the past 7 days. Over the last week, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 108.6-mph lately.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 42% to 50%. Over the last two weeks, Xander Bogaerts's 60.9% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50%.

The #3 field in baseball for suppressing base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for pitching of all games on the slate today. Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will be challenged by the game's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Tyler Wade will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today's game. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Tyler Wade's launch angle in recent games (24.3° in the past week) is significantly better than his 10.2° seasonal mark. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Tyler Wade has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .270 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .292. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Tyler Wade has put up a .312 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today. Jason Heyward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. In the past 7 days, Jason Heyward's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.228) implies that Jason Heyward has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .208 actual batting average.

When assessing his batting average talent, Jackson Merrill is projected as the 15th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Jackson Merrill has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.4% rate last year to 22.6% this year.

Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Elias Diaz has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 2.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past week.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph mark. Anthony Volpe has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 97.1-mph in the past 7 days. In the past two weeks, Anthony Volpe's 54.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.3%. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .241 rate is a fair amount lower than his .257 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Wells will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.7°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° figure last year. In the past week's worth of games, Austin Wells has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 20.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°. Austin Wells has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 figure is a good deal lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today. Trent Grisham has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.9-mph average to last season's 94.1-mph mark. Trent Grisham's launch angle lately (27.2° over the past week) is quite a bit better than his 19.3° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Jose Iglesias has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees. Jose Iglesias has recorded a .343 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 84th percentile. Ranking in the 99th percentile, Jose Iglesias sits with a .318 batting average since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jasson Dominguez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Michael King. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jasson Dominguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in the league. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Aaron Judge will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Aaron Judge has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 99.1-mph. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Aaron Judge's 60.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.5%.

The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Michael King. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Oswaldo Cabrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 87.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 85.5-mph.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Cody Bellinger has seen a big increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Paul Goldschmidt has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today. Paul Goldschmidt has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 8.9% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last 14 days.