San Diego @ New York picks

You won’t find anyone in the majors with such low home run odds on a daily basis, but we are talking about the reigning AL MVP and one of the best power hitters in the sport. Aaron Judge is absolutely tearing the cover off the baseball, hitting an MLB-best .414 with 11 home runs and 33 RBI. Those latter two marks rank second in the majors as well. The veteran has two long balls in his last five games and has three career HRs in only seven games against the San Diego Padres, whom the New York Yankees clash with tonight. Judge will also face his former teammate in Michael King for the first time. Six of Judge’s homers have come against righties, and he also went hitless on Monday, which is a rare occurrence for Judge. My MLB picks think he'll bounce back here and could very well leave the yard, too. 

This is a Yankees team with plenty of players familiar with Padres SP Michael King, which cannot be understated. Ask Nestor Cortes about that. The lefty lasted two innings and gave up five homers in his return to the Bronx earlier this season. The underlying stats suggest an early exit for King tonight, too. King has notched some impressive numbers this season, but they have come against some fairly soft competition. Four of his seven starts have come against offenses that rank in the bottom half of baseball in runs per game, with the only one coming close to mimicking the same amount of power the Yankees have, the Atlanta Braves. He lasted just 2 2/3 innings.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the San Diego Padres with a 18.6% underlying K%.. Quinn Wolcott projects as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 7th-worst park in baseball for strikeouts.

When estimating his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best venue in baseball for righty home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Michael King today.. Cody Bellinger pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jorbit Vivas will have an advantage today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jorbit Vivas will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt today.. Jason Heyward pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Austin Wells will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup.. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.7°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 6th-best park in baseball for left-handed home runs.. Yankee Stadium has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Michael King.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Oswaldo Cabrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Oswaldo Cabrera has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 87.6-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 85.5-mph.