Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the shallowest. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.4% to 25.5%. In the last 14 days, Patrick Bailey's 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 26.4%. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, notching a .203 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .285 — a .082 deviation.