Boston @ Toronto props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Rogers Centre as the 6th-worst stadium in the majors for RHB BABIP. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today. Bo Bichette's average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 82.7-mph in the last 7 days. In the last 14 days, Bo Bichette's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.8°. Ranking in the 18th percentile, Bo Bichette sports a .283 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Rogers Centre projects as the #25 field in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of all the teams on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jarren Duran in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.5% down to 0%. Jarren Duran's launch angle in recent games (-3.7° over the last 7 days) is significantly lower than his 10.6° seasonal figure.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today's game. Andres Gimenez's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.3°) is significantly better than his 9.2° angle last season.

In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.338) suggests that Ceddanne Rafaela has had bad variance on his side this year with his .284 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Over the past two weeks, Kristian Campbell's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph lately. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Kristian Campbell's 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 57.1%.

In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Carlos Narvaez has been hot lately, compiling a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's matchup. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today's matchup. Triston Casas has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Trevor Story hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Trevor Story has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Bats such as Daulton Varsho with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Garrett Crochet who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand today. Ernie Clement will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Anthony Santander is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Garrett Crochet. Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Garrett Crochet.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). George Springer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. In the past week, Alex Bregman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 15.8%.

In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Myles Straw will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Myles Straw will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.54 ft/sec this year, Myles Straw is very quick.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an edge in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. In the league, Rogers Centre's centerfield dimensions are the 10th-shallowest. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game.

Addison Barger has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.