The Texas Rangers and Athletics will open up a series tonight in the Lone Star State.
My Athletics vs Rangers predictions expect southpaw Jacob Lopez to help the A's have the lead through the first five innings.
Find out more in my MLB picks for July 21.
A's vs Rangers prediction
My A's vs Rangers best bet: A's first five moneyline (-105 at Caesars)
The Athletics’ young lefty, Jacob Lopez, has shown real flashes this season.
He enters this game — and the second half of the season — as a pitcher I’ll be looking to back. A key reason for this is his expected ERA, which is a full run lower than his actual ERA, indicating strong positive regression is likely. I think that begins tonight.
The underlying numbers are impressive. Lopez ranks in the 80th percentile for barrel rate and the 90th percentile for hard-hit rate. On top of that, his strikeout metrics are strong, and I expect him to lean into that skill set here.
The Texas Rangers enter this matchup ranked third in chase rate and Top 5 in whiff rate — and they see an increase in strikeout rate when facing lefties.
On the other side, I think the A’s are in a good position to take advantage of Rangers righty Jack Leiter. In direct contrast to Lopez, Leiter is a pitcher I’m looking to fade down the stretch.
His expected metrics point to negative regression, and his barrel rate — in the Bottom 10% of the league — could spell trouble against an underrated A’s lineup with power.
Caesars QuickPick: Our A's vs Rangers same-game parlay (SGP)
A's first five +0.5
Tyler Soderstrom home run
Tyler Soderstrom already has one homer in his head-to-head matchups with Jack Leiter, and it makes sense why.
Soderstrom is a tremendous fastball hitter, leading the A's in hard-hit rate against such pitches, and Leiter leans heavily on that pitch. In addition, poor barrel metrics from Leiter, with Soderstrom increasing his barrel rate significantly, suggest this could be a great spot.
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A's vs Rangers odds
A's vs Rangers live odds
A's vs Rangers opening odds
- Moneyline: A's +130 | Texas -155
- Run line: A's +1.5 (-160) | Texas -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: Over 9 | Under 9
Odds courtesy of Caesars.
A's vs Rangers trend
The Athletics have hit the first five innings (F5) team total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+6.57 Units / 8% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for A's vs. Rangers.
How to watch A's vs Rangers and game info
| Location | Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX |
| Date | Monday, 7-21-2025 |
| First pitch | 8:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC Sports California, RSN |
| A's starting pitcher | Jacob Lopez (3-5, 4.20 ERA) |
| Rangers starting pitcher | Jack Leiter (5-6, 4.37 ERA) |
A's vs Rangers latest injuries
A's vs Rangers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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