Boston @ Baltimore props

Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Posting a 3.8° launch angle in the last week's worth of games suggests that Ryan Mountcastle has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power. Ryan Mountcastle has shown poor plate discipline since the start of last season, placing in the 14th percentile with a 4.13 K/BB rate.

In today's game, Jordan Westburg is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.2% rate (77th percentile). Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Over the past 7 days, Jordan Westburg has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power). Jordan Westburg has struggled to lift the ball of late, posting a 0.4° launch angle over the past 14 days. Posting a 4.28 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg has displayed poor plate discipline, placing in the 14th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Jarren Duran will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Jarren Duran will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jarren Duran has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power).

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles. Alex Bregman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Alex Bregman has put up a .269 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Adley Rutschman pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox. Over the past 7 days, Adley Rutschman has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power). Posting a .272 BABIP since the start of last season, Adley Rutschman is ranked in the 21st percentile.

Rafael Devers projects as the 19th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. By putting up a .267 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Rafael Devers has performed in the 75th percentile.

Heston Kjerstad's BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Heston Kjerstad is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Heston Kjerstad will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the platoon advantage over Cade Povich today. Ceddanne Rafaela has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits of late, angling balls between -4° and 26° 52.2% of the time in the last two weeks. Ceddanne Rafaela has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17.6° mark is among the highest in baseball since the start of last season (91st percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Jackson Holliday will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Compiling a 95.3-mph average exit velocity over the last 14 days, Jackson Holliday has been in great form in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Connor Wong will have an edge today. Connor Wong has displayed some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 101.7-mph on his flyballs in the last week.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Triston Casas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game. Cedric Mullins's 21.5° launch angle (a reliable metric to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in the game: 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Trevor Story will have the upper hand today.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Rob Refsnyder will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Tyler O'Neill ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Tyler O'Neill is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Tyler O'Neill will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Romy Gonzalez has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Ramon Urias will have the upper hand today. Ramon Urias hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ramon Urias will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Ramon Laureano will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb in today's game. Ramon Laureano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Gary Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last 7 days, Gary Sanchez's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 112.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in baseball.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 81°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the 4th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Jorge Mateo will have the upper hand in today's game. Jorge Mateo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Mateo will hold that advantage in today's game.

Kristian Campbell has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.