San Francisco @ San Diego Picks & Props

Jackson Merrill is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Mason Black will have the handedness advantage over Manny Machado today... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Black's large platoon split. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Manny Machado's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (1.1° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 6.1° seasonal angle.

The #5 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Considering Mason Black's large platoon split, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Fernando Tatis Jr.'s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 14.2% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

The #5 venue in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph mark last season has decreased to 87.6-mph. Over the past 7 days, Luis Arraez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marco Luciano in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Marco Luciano has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.1 ft/sec to 27.62 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. In the past week, Heliot Ramos's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19%. With a .349 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Heliot Ramos has performed in the 87th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge today.

Grant McCray's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Grant McCray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael King in today's matchup. Grant McCray hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Grant McCray's launch angle in recent games (18° in the last week's worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 11.2° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. With a .382 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 95th percentile. In notching a .393 BABIP this year, Tyler Fitzgerald grades out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5.1% seasonal rate to 11.8% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Matt Chapman has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96-mph in the last week.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 17.5% to 25.5%. Kyle Higashioka's 12.8% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 88th percentile this year.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jurickson Profar ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jurickson Profar has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 95.5-mph over the past two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Mason Black in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Black has a large platoon split.

Petco Park has the 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in the league. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Patrick Bailey has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph figure. Patrick Bailey's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 15.3% on the season to 37.5% over the last week. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year with his .236 actual batting average.

Mike Yastrzemski is penciled in 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have the upper hand today. Over the past 7 days, Mike Yastrzemski's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 18.2%. Mike Yastrzemski has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 90-mph average.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-most favorable for hitting of all games today. Mason McCoy hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Mason McCoy will hold that advantage today.