Chicago @ Cleveland Picks & Props

24% of the time that Will Brennan has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The weather report predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences today. Will Brennan has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.3% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

The weather report predicts the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Despite posting a .374 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance given the .062 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .312.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Batters such as Isaac Paredes with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Alex Cobb who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Seiya Suzuki's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.3% to 19.5%.

The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Miguel Amaya has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph to 91.8-mph over the past 14 days. Compared to his seasonal average of 7.3°, Miguel Amaya has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 10.8° angle over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Lane Thomas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Dansby Swanson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 16.6% on the season to 35.7% in the past week. Dansby Swanson has been unlucky this year, putting up a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .040 disparity.

David Fry is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and David Fry will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Nico Hoerner has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 1.6% seasonal rate to 7.1% in the past week.

Andres Gimenez's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today. Andres Gimenez has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Alex Cobb throws from, Michael Busch will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Busch stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Brayan Rocchio's 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Alex Cobb throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side against Alex Cobb in today's matchup.

The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jhonkensy Noel will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Jhonkensy Noel's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.7-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph in recent games.

The #8 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Austin Hedges will hold that advantage in today's matchup. There has been a significant improvement in Austin Hedges's launch angle from last season's 15.7° to 20.5° this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best venue in baseball for LHB base hits. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Pete Crow-Armstrong will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Cobb today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Pete Crow-Armstrong has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Daniel Schneemann has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.