Arizona @ Cleveland Picks & Props
AZ vs CLE Picks
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AZ vs CLE Consensus Picks
71% picking Cleveland
Total PicksAZ 176, CLE 421
71% picking Arizona vs Cleveland to go Over
Total PicksAZ 255, CLE 104
AZ vs CLE Props
José Ramírez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Among every team in action today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.3% to 39%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.341) provides evidence that Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year with his .364 actual wOBA.
Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 16.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Hitting from the same side that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive talent to be a .311, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .070 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .381 wOBA.
Angel Martinez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez. Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Bo Naylor has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week. Over the past 14 days, Bo Naylor's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 99.8-mph in recent games. Bo Naylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 14.6% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Arizona
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Josh Bell ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Josh Bell has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Tyler Freeman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Tyler Freeman will have an advantage in today's game.
Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The #8 park in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all major league parks. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest humidity of all games on the slate at 91%. The switch-hitting Brayan Rocchio will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Eduardo Rodriguez.
Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Corbin Carroll will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's game.
Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best hitter in the majors. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Ketel Marte pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland
Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Andres Gimenez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, rising from 45.2% on the season to 56.3% in the last week's worth of games.
Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Joc Pederson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup.
Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alek Thomas stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Lane Thomas will have an edge today.
Jose Herrera Total Hits Props • Arizona
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jose Herrera has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 86.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 81.5-mph average.
Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Cleveland (#3-worst on the slate).
Jhonkensy Noel Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Jhonkensy Noel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eduardo Rodriguez in today's matchup. Jhonkensy Noel pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jhonkensy Noel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
David Fry Total Hits Props • Cleveland
David Fry is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, David Fry will have the upper hand today. David Fry pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona
Progressive Field grades out as the #8 stadium in the league for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. In the past week, Geraldo Perdomo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.8% up to 21.4%. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 93.5-mph in the past 7 days. In notching a .264 batting average this year, Geraldo Perdomo has performed in the 78th percentile.
Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Cleveland
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 8th-best field in baseball for righty base hits. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks, which generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Austin Hedges will have an edge in today's matchup. Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hedges will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
AZ vs CLE Trends
Arizona Trends
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 70 games (+16.25 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.50 Units / 30% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 56 games (+15.10 Units / 21% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 37 away games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 57 games (-26.00 Units / -42% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 52 of their last 113 games (-17.05 Units / -13% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 104 games (-12.90 Units / -9% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 48 games (-22.65 Units / -40% ROI)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 11 games (-3.10 Units / -19% ROI)
Cleveland Trends
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 42 of their last 69 games (+12.30 Units / 15% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 67 of their last 112 games (+14.82 Units / 10% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 48 games at home (+14.35 Units / 26% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 52 games at home (+11.25 Units / 20% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 55 of their last 98 games (+9.40 Units / 8% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 45 of their last 112 games (-31.65 Units / -24% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 112 games (-24.56 Units / -19% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 52 games at home (-16.05 Units / -28% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 33 games (-5.65 Units / -14% ROI)
The Cleveland Guardians have only covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 35 games (-16.40 Units / -38% ROI)
AZ vs CLE Top User Picks
Arizona Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | anya | 7-3-0 | +19170 |
| 2 | PlusOdds | 3-6-1 | +17545 |
| 3 | Bassboy7276 | 6-4-0 | +15647 |
| 4 | uncle_Pasha_DRW | 4-5-1 | +13772 |
| 5 | vitom | 6-3-1 | +13655 |
| 6 | mccabecj | 4-6-0 | +13555 |
| 7 | timstutler25 | 4-6-0 | +12860 |
| 8 | drizrazz | 5-3-2 | +12715 |
| 9 | hoody | 8-2-0 | +12370 |
| 10 | Brayy_Wyatt | 5-5-0 | +12265 |
| All Diamondbacks Money Leaders | |||
Cleveland Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +18995 |
| 2 | HJLOPEZ | 8-2-0 | +16210 |
| 3 | mindsusan12 | 6-2-2 | +14485 |
| 4 | lusvegasluva | 4-5-1 | +14215 |
| 5 | OMREBEL02 | 2-8-0 | +13685 |
| 6 | RebelTell2 | 7-3-0 | +13150 |
| 7 | allan6 | 7-2-1 | +12945 |
| 8 | peacy454 | 4-6-0 | +12845 |
| 9 | midway1942 | 6-3-1 | +12570 |
| 10 | BRUNOD | 8-2-0 | +12486 |
| All Guardians Money Leaders | |||