Cleveland @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Carlos Carrasco will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 48.1% on the season to 26.3% over the last 7 days.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 field in the league for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 86-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 82.7-mph in the past 14 days. Over the last 14 days, Steven Kwan's 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.3%.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #24 park in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense. Carlos Carrasco will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Bohm in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians. Over the last two weeks, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Phillips in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Brandon Marsh has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Jhonkensy Noel has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 108.9-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 98.7-mph.

Angel Martinez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Over the past two weeks, Angel Martinez's 28% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.8%.

David Fry is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. David Fry has recorded a .357 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Nick Castellanos's BABIP skill is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Nick Castellanos will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In the last week, Nick Castellanos's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.1-mph over the course of the season to 99.7-mph lately.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.T. Realmuto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Tyler Phillips throws from, Bo Naylor will have an edge in today's matchup. Bo Naylor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 96.4-mph over the past 7 days. Bo Naylor's launch angle recently (54° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 20.6° seasonal mark.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today. Austin Hays has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph. Placing in the 91st percentile, Austin Hays has put up a .337 BABIP since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Will Brennan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Phillips in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Kyle Schwarber will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today. Bryson Stott is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Daniel Schneemann is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for long-balls. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Daniel Schneemann will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Phillips in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 9th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Carlos Carrasco throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today. Bryce Harper will probably have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team today. Austin Hedges's launch angle this year (20.4°) is a significant increase over his 15.7° figure last year. Austin Hedges's footspeed has improved this year. His 24.47 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.32 ft/sec now.