Cleveland @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Tropicana Field as the 3rd-worst ballpark in MLB for righty base hits. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Yandy Diaz today. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Yandy Diaz is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#2-best on the slate today).

Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 field in the game for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Steven Kwan in today's game. Steven Kwan's launch angle of late (9.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 13.3° seasonal angle.

Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 field in the game for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game -11° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Ramirez in today's matchup. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, going from 16.6% on the season to 5.6% over the past 7 days. Jose Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 37%.

Jose Siri's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Jose Siri has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89-mph average. Jose Siri has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.5-mph average to last year's 94-mph average.

Richie Palacios will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams in today's matchup. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Richie Palacios can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Richie Palacios pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Richie Palacios will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Richie Palacios's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.69 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

David Fry is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. David Fry's 17.5° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 84th percentile. Checking in at the 89th percentile, David Fry has put up a .361 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year. David Fry has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.8 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. In the league, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today's game. Andres Gimenez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph to 92.2-mph in the past week. In the last 7 days, Andres Gimenez's 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

Angel Martinez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Angel Martinez has been lifting the ball well recently, notching a 21.9° launch angle in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Randy Arozarena has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.3% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past 14 days. In the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena's 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.9%.

Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage today. Jose Caballero has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last 7 days. Over the last two weeks, Jose Caballero's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.4-mph of late.

In the league, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today's game.

In the league, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Brayan Rocchio has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.9% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past week.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams today. Brandon Lowe has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Isaac Paredes has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past two weeks. In the past week's worth of games, Isaac Paredes's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.4-mph over the course of the season to 101.9-mph in recent games.

Daniel Schneemann will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell today. Over the last 7 days, Daniel Schneemann's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90.5 mph to 86.4 mph. Daniel Schneemann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 18.5% on the season to 25% over the past 14 days.

Will Brennan's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Will Brennan will have the upper hand in today's game. Will Brennan has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph EV. By putting up a .270 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Will Brennan finds himself in the 80th percentile. Will Brennan has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.

In the league, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have the upper hand today. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ben Rortvedt can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Ben Rortvedt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Ben Rortvedt has compiled a .281 batting average this year, placing in the 85th percentile.

In the league, Tropicana Field's RF fences are the 5th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage today. Bo Naylor's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 37.7% to 43.9%.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.