Milwaukee @ San Diego Picks & Props

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Brice Turang has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time. The #4 park in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Among every team playing today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ha-seong Kim ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.254) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very poor luck this year with his .214 actual batting average. Ha-seong Kim has exhibited good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 98th percentile with a 1.11 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Jake Bauers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Jake Bauers will have an edge in today's game. Jake Bauers's launch angle this year (22.7°) is considerably better than his 13.6° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35° angle over the past week. Rhys Hoskins has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 21.4° angle is among the highest in the league this year (97th percentile).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Willy Adames's launch angle lately (24.5° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 20.8° seasonal angle. In notching a .334 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Willy Adames grades out in the 76th percentile for offensive skills.

The #4 park in the league for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which often leads to less offense. Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the Milwaukee Brewers. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.6-mph figure last season has fallen to 86.8-mph. Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.5°, Luis Arraez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.2°) over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Sal Frelick will have an edge today. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Gary Sanchez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95.1-mph over the past 7 days. In the last week's worth of games, Gary Sanchez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 35%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Manny Machado will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Despite posting a .294 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Manny Machado has had bad variance on his side given the .036 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .330.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Jake Cronenworth will have the handedness advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Michael King throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge in today's matchup. Posting a .388 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Christian Yelich has performed in the 96th percentile.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Jurickson Profar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jurickson Profar's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 42% to 51.6%. In terms of plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's skill is quite strong, putting up a 1.17 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 96th percentile. Checking in at the 97th percentile, Jurickson Profar sports a .316 batting average this year.

Donovan Solano's BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Donovan Solano hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Donovan Solano will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Donovan Solano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph in recent games. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, increasing from 49.4% on the season to 66.7% in the past week.

Tyler Black is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. Tyler Black will have the handedness advantage against Michael King in today's matchup.

Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. William Contreras is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.2-mph average to last year's 94.7-mph figure.

Jackson Merrill's batting average ability is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (99% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Among all stadiums, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for batters. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kyle Higashioka's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 17.5% to 21.7%. Kyle Higashioka's 11.5% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 82nd percentile since the start of last season.

David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Tobias Myers in today's matchup. David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. David Peralta will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. David Peralta's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 46.8% to 64.5%. David Peralta has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .289 figure is deflated compared to his .330 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.