Pittsburgh @ Toronto Picks & Props

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Ke'Bryan Hayes will have a tough matchup today. Ke'Bryan Hayes will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Ke'Bryan Hayes's quickness has fallen off this season. His 27.11 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.4 ft/sec now.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates. Kevin Kiermaier will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Kevin Kiermaier has notched a .322 BABIP since the start of last season.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.213) provides evidence that Daulton Varsho has had some very poor luck this year with his .205 actual batting average. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 96th percentile with a 20.3° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup. Rowdy Tellez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rowdy Tellez's footspeed has improved this year. His 23.36 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.18 ft/sec now. Despite posting a .212 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Rowdy Tellez has suffered from bad luck given the .102 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an advantage in today's matchup. Oneil Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have an advantage today. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Davis Schneider is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Davis Schneider will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Ji Hwan Bae will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Berrios in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest.

Danny Jansen is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Danny Jansen will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Connor Joe ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. In the last week's worth of games, Connor Joe has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .353.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Andrew McCutchen hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Using Statcast metrics, Andrew McCutchen is in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .352.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Among all parks, Rogers Centre's CF fences are the 10th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage in today's game. Ernie Clement hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Justin Turner is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge in today's matchup. Justin Turner hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Daniel Vogelbach has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.