San Diego @ Kansas City Picks & Props
SD vs KC Picks
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SD vs KC Consensus Picks
65% picking Kansas City
Total PicksSD 295, KC 541
SD vs KC Props
Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game's deepest RF fences today. Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bobby Witt Jr.'s true offensive ability to be a .358, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .021 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .379 wOBA.
Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego
Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage over Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences today. Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Manny Machado's quickness has declined this year. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.78 ft/sec now. Manny Machado is in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).
Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.
Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego
Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.
Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) suggests that Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance this year with his .214 actual batting average.
Nelson Velázquez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Nelson Velazquez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nelson Velazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage today.
Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego
Luis Arraez has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and will be challenged by the league's 4th-deepest LF fences today. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) is in the 10th percentile since the start of last season. Luis Arraez's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 104 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 1st percentile.
Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Luis Campusano Total Hits Props • San Diego
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Campusano has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .235 BA is deflated compared to his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Hunter Renfroe Total Hits Props • Kansas City
Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hunter Renfroe will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Hunter Renfroe's true offensive skill to be a .303, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .058 disparity between that figure and his actual .245 wOBA.
Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #2 park in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego
Jurickson Profar is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has improved this year. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.69 ft/sec now.
MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects MJ Melendez in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. MJ Melendez will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Cease today.
David Peralta Total Hits Props • San Diego
The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to better offense. The weather report calls for the 2nd-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, David Peralta will have an advantage today. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, David Peralta has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .288 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .331.
SD vs KC Trends
San Diego Trends
The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 away games (+8.20 Units / 27% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 20 of their last 27 away games (+15.35 Units / 44% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 60% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
The San Diego Padres have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 1 of their last 6 games (-5.10 Units / -69% ROI)
Kansas City Trends
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Run Line in 38 of their last 57 games (+16.29 Units / 20% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games at home (+14.85 Units / 43% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 27 games at home (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.50 Units / 45% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 27 games at home (-9.75 Units / -31% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 2 of their last 12 games (-8.95 Units / -68% ROI)
The Kansas City Royals have only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 11 games (-6.05 Units / -49% ROI)
SD vs KC Top User Picks
San Diego Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sabster611 | 9-1-0 | +23405 |
| 2 | Infinite-H | 8-2-0 | +22730 |
| 3 | Bigboys9 | 6-4-0 | +20690 |
| 4 | CJONES1068 | 8-2-0 | +14925 |
| 5 | Enelra18 | 5-5-0 | +13770 |
| 6 | Ollywood | 8-2-0 | +13087 |
| 7 | dude18555 | 5-5-0 | +13040 |
| 8 | vlkvlk2012 | 2-8-0 | +12910 |
| 9 | Moneyman00 | 6-4-0 | +12810 |
| 10 | dawoodman | 9-1-0 | +12745 |
| All Padres Money Leaders | |||
Kansas City Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DaBoss80 | 6-4-0 | +21380 |
| 2 | CHEOAPONTE | 4-6-0 | +19625 |
| 3 | Sandsaver727 | 5-5-0 | +15915 |
| 4 | DavePaliwoda | 6-4-0 | +13570 |
| 5 | Mava5 | 7-3-0 | +13310 |
| 6 | jerrygora | 3-7-0 | +12980 |
| 7 | Brayy_Wyatt | 7-3-0 | +12595 |
| 8 | Yellafella59 | 7-3-0 | +12435 |
| 9 | stakay125 | 5-5-0 | +12285 |
| 10 | Mexicali72 | 3-7-0 | +12020 |
| All Royals Money Leaders | |||