Colorado @ San Diego Picks & Props

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Charlie Blackmon will have an advantage today. Charlie Blackmon hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Charlie Blackmon has had bad variance on his side this year. His .301 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Charlie Blackmon ranks in the 88th percentile with a 17.7° launch angle, which is among the highest angles in Major League Baseball.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill in today's game. Jake Cronenworth is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.

Jackson Merrill's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cal Quantrill today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Merrill has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jackson Merrill hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41.3% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Petco Park projects as the #28 field in Major League Baseball for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team playing today. Since the start of last season, Luis Arraez's 3.5% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers.

The #3 park in baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park. Built just 14 feet above sea level, Petco Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league stadiums, which often leads to worse offense. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for pitching of all games on the slate. Cal Quantrill will have the handedness advantage against Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense projects as the strongest among every team playing today.

Elias Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Elias Diaz is in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46.6% rate since the start of last season).

Jordan Beck hits many of his flyballs to center field (38% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jordan Beck is remarkably fast, grading out in the 81st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.31 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Ezequiel Tovar grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (49.8% rate since the start of last season). Grading out in the 98th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Ezequiel Tovar demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a core ability for achieving a high batting average.

The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Sean Bouchard's 20% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 99th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Sean Bouchard's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) grades out in the 99th percentile at 100.8 mph. Sean Bouchard grades out in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (36% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Xander Bogaerts will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky this year, posting a .241 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .084 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Campusano in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Luis Campusano will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Luis Campusano has experienced some positive variance this year. His .268 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .243. Luis Campusano grades out in the 85th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.3% rate since the start of last season).

Ha-seong Kim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ha-seong Kim will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Ha-seong Kim has experienced some negative variance this year. His .207 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257. Sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year, Ha-seong Kim has displayed favorable plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Ryan McMahon's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand today. Since the start of last season, Ryan McMahon's 11.6% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park. Manny Machado will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Manny Machado has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .286 mark is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Petco Park.

Brenton Doyle has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 15.3° figure is among the highest in the game since the start of last season (80th percentile).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Rodgers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Brendan Rodgers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Brendan Rodgers's 10.6% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Cave will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Jake Cave hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jake Cave has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 18.2° figure is among the highest in MLB since the start of last season (85th percentile). Grading out in the 93rd percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Jake Cave demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - an important talent for achieving a high batting average.

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jurickson Profar's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.68 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.52 ft/sec now. As it relates to plate discipline, Jurickson Profar's ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.22 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 95th percentile. Jurickson Profar has compiled a .311 batting average this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.