Final Sep 17
CHC 8 -161 o8.0
PIT 4 +144 u8.0
Final Sep 17
CIN 6 -117 o8.5
STL 2 +108 u8.5
Final Sep 17
BAL 3 -116 o8.0
CHW 1 +107 u8.0
Final (11) Sep 17
SF 5 +100 o9.0
AZ 1 -108 u9.0
Final Sep 17
ATL 9 -144 o8.5
WAS 4 +133 u8.5
Final Sep 17
CLE 4 +128 o8.0
DET 0 -139 u8.0
Final (10) Sep 17
ATH 4 +143 o9.0
BOS 5 -156 u9.0
Final Sep 17
TOR 1 -124 o7.5
TB 2 +114 u7.5
Final Sep 17
SD 7 +118 o7.5
NYM 4 -128 u7.5
Final Sep 17
SEA 5 +114 o8.5
KC 7 -124 u8.5
Final Sep 17
NYY 10 -149 o9.5
MIN 5 +137 u9.5
Final Sep 17
LAA 2 +209 o7.5
MIL 9 -232 u7.5
Final Sep 17
TEX 2 -138 o7.5
HOU 5 +127 u7.5
Final Sep 17
MIA 8 -143 o10.5
COL 4 +131 u10.5
Final Sep 17
PHI 0 +128 o8.0
LAD 5 -139 u8.0
SDPA, ARID

San Diego @ Arizona Picks & Props

SD vs AZ Picks

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SD vs AZ Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

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SD vs AZ Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eugenio Suárez Total Hits Props • Arizona

Eugenio Suárez
E. Suárez
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Eugenio Suárez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Eugenio Suarez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

Jake McCarthy
J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
3.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

This year, Jake McCarthy has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher. Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Jake McCarthy's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 29.96 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.85 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Jake McCarthy's 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 3.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
3.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

This year, Jake McCarthy has been pinch hit for in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher. Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Jake McCarthy's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 29.96 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.85 ft/sec now. Since the start of last season, Jake McCarthy's 2.4% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 4th percentile among his peers.

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

Ketel Marte
K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Matt Waldron today. In today's game, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (79th percentile). Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.75 ft/sec currently. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Matt Waldron today. In today's game, Ketel Marte is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (79th percentile). Out of every team today, the 4th-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. This year, there has been a decline in Ketel Marte's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 27.52 ft/sec last year to 26.75 ft/sec currently. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game. Jake Cronenworth's quickness has decreased this year. His 28.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.22 ft/sec now. Jake Cronenworth's 4.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 16th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 11th percentile at 89.3 mph.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jake Cronenworth hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Cronenworth in today's game. Jake Cronenworth's quickness has decreased this year. His 28.28 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.22 ft/sec now. Jake Cronenworth's 4.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 16th percentile since the start of last season. Since the start of last season, Jake Cronenworth's flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 11th percentile at 89.3 mph.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Fernando Tatis Jr. today.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is deflated compared to his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Xander Bogaerts has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .258 rate is deflated compared to his .285 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Manny Machado in today's matchup. Manny Machado's quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.58 ft/sec now. Manny Machado grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

Manny Machado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage today. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Manny Machado in today's matchup. Manny Machado's quickness has fallen off this season. His 26.25 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.58 ft/sec now. Manny Machado grades out in the 14th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (38.5% rate since the start of last season).

Ha-Seong Kim Total Hits Props • San Diego

Ha-Seong Kim
H. Kim
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .253 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Ha-Seong Kim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .253 actual batting average. In terms of plate discipline, Ha-seong Kim's talent is quite good, putting up a 1.43 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 89th percentile.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

Corbin Carroll
C. Carroll
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Matt Waldron throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Total Hits Props • Arizona

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
L. Gurriel Jr.
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a high rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Among all stadiums, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Matt Waldron throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage in today's game. Out of every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the San Diego Padres. Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power ability. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has a high rate of hitting "too-high" (above 38° launch angle) balls, which lead to a lot of easy pop-outs; his 14.5% rate puts him in the 24th percentile among MLB hitters since the start of last season.

Jackson Merrill Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jackson Merrill
J. Merrill
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.

Jackson Merrill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jackson Merrill will have the upper hand today.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

Christian Walker
C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • Arizona

Joc Pederson
J. Pederson
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Joc Pederson ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Joc Pederson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Arizona

Kevin Newman
K. Newman
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kevin Newman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Kevin Newman will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Tucker Barnhart Total Hits Props • Arizona

Tucker Barnhart
T. Barnhart
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Tucker Barnhart will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tucker Barnhart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tucker Barnhart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Tucker Barnhart will hold the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Tucker Barnhart will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • San Diego

Kyle Higashioka
K. Higashioka
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Chase Field grades out as the #2 field in baseball for RHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Since the start of last season, Kyle Higashioka's 11.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 79th percentile among his peers. Kyle Higashioka's 94-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 77th percentile since the start of last season.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jurickson Profar
J. Profar
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.77 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jurickson Profar is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Jurickson Profar has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 25.68 ft/sec to 26.77 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

Pavin Smith
P. Smith
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Pavin Smith has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to better offense. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 13° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Waldron today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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