Arizona @ San Francisco Picks & Props

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today's game. Placing in the 23rd percentile, the hardest ball Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has connected with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 109.4 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. hits a large number of his balls with a launch angle that is "too high" (above 38°), which tends to lead to easy pop flies. His 14.5% "too-high" rate since the start of last season grades out in the 24th percentile. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has compiled a .266 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 12th percentile.

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Kyle Harrison will have the handedness advantage against Corbin Carroll in today's game. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Corbin Carroll's footspeed has fallen off this year. His 30.05 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.41 ft/sec now. A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits, and Corbin Carroll's 29.8° mark (14th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a weak hitting profile.

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte today. Ketel Marte's footspeed has decreased this year. His 27.52 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.57 ft/sec now. Ketel Marte has been lucky this year, posting a .402 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .348 — a .054 disparity. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ketel Marte and his 12.1% rank in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Nick Ahmed will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Nick Ahmed has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .259 rate is deflated compared to his .280 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Nick Ahmed ranks in the 79th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (46.3% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Patrick Bailey pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Patrick Bailey has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .239 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .253 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand in today's game.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Michael Conforto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Thairo Estrada will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.265) provides evidence that Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year with his .283 actual wOBA. Thairo Estrada grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (46% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Christian Walker will have an advantage today.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Wilmer Flores will hold that advantage today. Wilmer Flores's 21.6° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in the game: 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Mike Yastrzemski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today's game. Mike Yastrzemski pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Mike Yastrzemski will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Matt Chapman will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. In Major League Baseball, Oracle Park's RF fences are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme groundball bats like Tucker Barnhart usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.

Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Randal Grichuk will have an edge today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oracle Park as the 9th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup. LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oracle Park profiles as the #9 venue in MLB for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Kevin Newman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Kevin Newman has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .247 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .309.