Bally Sports Network, MLBN, NESN

Cleveland @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-190
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.5 ft/sec last year to 28.37 ft/sec currently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .351 actual wOBA.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.5 ft/sec last year to 28.37 ft/sec currently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .351 actual wOBA.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • Boston

T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-222
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-222
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. Xzavion Curry will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler O'Neill today. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Tyler O'Neill's speed has declined this season. His 28.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.34 ft/sec now.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. Xzavion Curry will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler O'Neill today. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Tyler O'Neill's speed has declined this season. His 28.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.34 ft/sec now.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-205
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-205
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Rafael Devers and his 38.5% since the start of last season rank in the 14th percentile by this measure.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Rafael Devers and his 38.5% since the start of last season rank in the 14th percentile by this measure.

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-200
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Steven Kwan's 1.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season. Steven Kwan's 85.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 0th percentile since the start of last season.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Steven Kwan's 1.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season. Steven Kwan's 85.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 0th percentile since the start of last season.

Ramon Laureano Total Hits Props • Cleveland

R. Laureano
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Ramon Laureano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-244
Projection Rating

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today's game.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today's game.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's game. Triston Casas may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's game. Triston Casas may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

Brayan Rocchio Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Rocchio
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Brayan Rocchio pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Brayan Rocchio

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Brayan Rocchio pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Cleveland

T. Freeman
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Tyler Freeman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.300) suggests that Tyler Freeman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Tyler Freeman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.300) suggests that Tyler Freeman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his better side against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his better side against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Naylor
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

Josh Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Josh Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Kutter Crawford today.

Bo Naylor Total Hits Props • Cleveland

B. Naylor
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Bo Naylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's game. Reese McGuire has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's game. Reese McGuire has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Estevan Florial Total Hits Props • Cleveland

E. Florial
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-133
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-133
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Estevan Florial will have an advantage in today's matchup. Estevan Florial hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. In the past week, Estevan Florial has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .370.

Estevan Florial

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Estevan Florial will have an advantage in today's matchup. Estevan Florial hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. In the past week, Estevan Florial has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .370.

Ceddanne Rafaela Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Rafaela
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Ceddanne Rafaela has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .215 actual batting average.

Ceddanne Rafaela

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Ceddanne Rafaela has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .215 actual batting average.

David Hamilton Total Hits Props • Boston

D. Hamilton
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-139
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today. David Hamilton is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

David Hamilton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today. David Hamilton is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

Gabriel Arias Total Hits Props • Cleveland

G. Arias
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Gabriel Arias has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Gabriel Arias has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .211 figure is a fair amount lower than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gabriel Arias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Gabriel Arias has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Gabriel Arias has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .211 figure is a fair amount lower than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
right outfield RF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .262 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .297.

Will Brennan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .262 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .297.

Wilyer Abreu Total Hits Props • Boston

W. Abreu
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game.

Wilyer Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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