Cleveland @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. This season, there has been a decline in Jarren Duran's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.5 ft/sec last year to 28.37 ft/sec currently. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Jarren Duran has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .351 actual wOBA.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. Xzavion Curry will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler O'Neill today. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Tyler O'Neill's speed has declined this season. His 28.51 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.34 ft/sec now.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. The Cleveland Guardians outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-best among every team today. Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Rafael Devers and his 38.5% since the start of last season rank in the 14th percentile by this measure.

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report expects the 3rd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate today at 58°. Steven Kwan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Steven Kwan's 1.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season. Steven Kwan's 85.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 0th percentile since the start of last season.

The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for hitters. Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Andres Gimenez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Xzavion Curry in today's game. The Cleveland Guardians have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Triston Casas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's game. Triston Casas may have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Brayan Rocchio pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Tyler Freeman hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.300) suggests that Tyler Freeman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .226 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Jose Ramirez will get to bat from his better side against Kutter Crawford in today's game. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Bo Naylor has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Bo Naylor will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's game. Bo Naylor pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Reese McGuire will have an advantage in today's game. Reese McGuire has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP. Reese McGuire will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Kutter Crawford throws from, Estevan Florial will have an advantage in today's matchup. Estevan Florial hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. In the past week, Estevan Florial has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .370.

Ceddanne Rafaela's BABIP ability is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.235) implies that Ceddanne Rafaela has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .215 actual batting average.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In the majors, Fenway Park's right field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge today. David Hamilton is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and David Hamilton will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #2 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Gabriel Arias has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Gabriel Arias has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .211 figure is a fair amount lower than his .228 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Will Brennan will have the handedness advantage over Kutter Crawford in today's matchup. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. When it comes to his batting average, Will Brennan has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .262 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .297.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Wilyer Abreu will have the handedness advantage over Xzavion Curry in today's matchup. Wilyer Abreu is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Wilyer Abreu has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Wilyer Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game.

The #2 field in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Xzavion Curry throws from, Enmanuel Valdez will have an advantage in today's game. Enmanuel Valdez has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP. Enmanuel Valdez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Enmanuel Valdez will hold that advantage today.