MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Parlay & Odds Today for July 13: Goldy!

Our expert MLB player prop predictions are targeting three sluggers in great matchups, including Yankees' Paul Goldschmidt!

Tony Sartori - Contributor at Covers.com
Tony Sartori • Betting Analyst
Jul 13, 2025 • 12:53 ET • 4 min read
Paul Goldschmidt of the New York Yankees
Photo By - Imagn Images.

There is a full 15-game MLB slate on Sunday, with plenty of player props to choose from.

I have compiled my three best home run props for Sunday. As always, monitor the odds and available pricing, as the player prop market is constantly changing.

Here are my free MLB player props for Sunday, July 13.

Best MLB home run props today

  • Yankees Paul Goldschmidt to hit a home run (+320)
  • Astros Jose Altuve to hit a home run (+500)
  • Astros Christian Walker to hit a home run (+450)
  • 💲 +10820 parlay💲

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HR picks for July 13

Paul Goldschmidt to hit a home run (+320 at DraftKings)

The New York Yankees host the Chicago Cubs to kick off Sunday’s MLB slate. Now is the time to sell high on left-hander Shota Imanaga, who takes the mound for Chicago.

Despite his surface-level success in 2025, Imanaga’s underlying metrics suggest that regression is quickly looming. He ranks in the 36th percentile in expected ERA (xERA), 19th percentile in average exit velocity, and 22nd percentile in barrel rate.

New York’s Paul Goldschmidt is likely to take advantage of this expected regression. Through seven plate appearances against Imanaga, Goldschmidt boasts a 1.000 slugging percentage and one home run.

Time: 1:35 p.m. ET

Where to Watch: MARQ

Jose Altuve to hit a home run (+500 at DraftKings)

Later in the afternoon, the Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers. Houston’s Jose Altuve homered in last night’s game and is worth backing to do so again Sunday against right-hander Nathan Eovaldi.

Altuve has historically dominated Eovaldi, homering seven times through 58 plate appearances. He has posted a .727 slugging percentage and a .661 expected slugging percentage over that stretch.

Time: 2:10 p.m. ET

Where to Watch: SCHN

Christian Walker to hit a home run (+450 at DraftKings)

Another Astros hitter to target in this matchup is Christian Walker. Like Altuve, Walker enters this contest in good form with two home runs over his past five games.

Also like Altuve, Walker has crushed Eovaldi in the past. Through 14 plate appearances against the right-hander, Walker boasts a 1.182 slugging percentage with two home runs.

Eovaldi has been sensational this year, which is why these odds are so long. That said, opponents are hitting the ball hard against him, as he ranks in the 39th percentile in average exit velocity.

Time: 2:10 p.m. ET

Where to Watch: SCHN

Today’s HR parlay

Paul Goldschmidt to hit a home run

Jose Altuve to hit a home run

Christian Walker to hit a home run

Today’s most popular HR bets

  1. Cal Raleigh, Mariners
  2. Aaron Judge, Yankees
  3. Shohei Ohtani, Dodgers

Betting info courtesy of DraftKings

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Tony Sartori - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Tony Sartori has written over 1,000 pieces of sports betting content across multiple different media outlets. He covers the NHL, UFC, PGA, NFL and MLB. Tony started part-time while attending the University of Wisconsin-Madison, where he went on to receive a B.A. in Economics and a certificate in Entrepreneurship in 2022. He continues to work full-time in the sports betting landscape.

Due to the variety of sports he covers, Tony is handicapping every day. If he had one piece of betting advice for a new sports bettor, it would be to strictly enforce bankroll management rules for yourself. If you set aside $10,000 for your betting bankroll, then you should generally only be betting between $100 - $500 per play.

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