Texas @ Seattle props

Jonah Heim pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13.4% to 18.5%. Over the past 14 days, Jonah Heim's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.3%.

T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 park in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°. Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Marcus Semien in today's game. Marcus Semien will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Sam Haggerty's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. The switch-hitting Sam Haggerty will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage today. Sam Haggerty grades out in the 87th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (47.6% rate since the start of last season).

T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 park in the majors for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to worse offense. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°. The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams in action today. Julio Rodriguez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph dropping to 79.7-mph over the last week.

J.P. Crawford's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage in today's game. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 42% to 47.1%.

Dylan Moore will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Dylan Moore pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Dylan Moore will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Dylan Moore has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 13.1% rate last year to 18.1% this year. Dylan Moore has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 92.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert today. Over the past week, Evan Carter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 28.6%. Evan Carter has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.5-mph to 89.7-mph over the past week.

Jose Caballero will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Jose Caballero pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jose Caballero will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jose Caballero ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.4° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB. Jose Caballero is very fast, placing in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.95 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Nathaniel Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Nathaniel Lowe has experienced some negative variance this year. His .264 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez as the 10th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Josh Jung is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Josh Jung has put up a .351 BABIP this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Eugenio Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery today. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jordan Montgomery. Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.7% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last 14 days, Cal Raleigh's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.9-mph over the course of the season to 99.2-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mitch Garver in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Mitch Garver pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Mitch Garver has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 21.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°. Mitch Garver has recorded a .394 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 96th percentile. Mitch Garver has notched a .286 batting average this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for homers. Adolis Garcia's launch angle of late (22.9° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 15.6° seasonal figure. With a .356 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Adolis Garcia finds himself in the 82nd percentile for hitting ability.