Final Apr 30
STL 6 +124 o9.0
CIN 0 -135 u9.0
Final Apr 30
DET 7 +105 o8.0
HOU 4 -114 u8.0
Final Apr 30
ATL 1 -253 o10.0
COL 2 +227 u10.0
Final Apr 30
MIA 7 +269 o10.0
LAD 12 -304 u10.0
Final Apr 30
LAA 3 +123 o8.0
SEA 9 -134 u8.0
Final Apr 30
SF 3 +121 o7.0
SD 5 -131 u7.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 2 -102 o7.0
CLE 4 -106 u7.0
Final Apr 30
NYY 4 +110 o9.5
BAL 5 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 30
CHC 3 -169 o9.0
PIT 4 +155 u9.0
Final Apr 30
STL 9 -102 o9.5
CIN 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 30
WAS 2 +223 o8.0
PHI 7 -249 u8.0
Final Apr 30
KC 3 +142 o7.5
TB 0 -155 u7.5
Final (10) Apr 30
BOS 6 -101 o9.5
TOR 7 -108 u9.5
Final Apr 30
AZ 4 -107 o8.5
NYM 3 -101 u8.5
Final Apr 30
MIL 6 -145 o7.5
CHW 4 +133 u7.5
Final Apr 30
ATH 7 +131 o8.5
TEX 1 -142 u8.5
MASN2, NBCSCH

Chicago @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+195
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+195
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jose Urena will have the handedness advantage against Lane Thomas in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Urena's large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .272 actual batting average. Sporting a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Lane Thomas has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 9th percentile.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jose Urena will have the handedness advantage against Lane Thomas in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Urena's large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .272 actual batting average. Sporting a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Lane Thomas has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 9th percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+145
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
+145
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. CJ Abrams has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week. CJ Abrams has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate. CJ Abrams has put up a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. CJ Abrams has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week. CJ Abrams has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate. CJ Abrams has put up a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+120
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 18.8% on the season to 25% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 18.8% on the season to 25% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Alu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urena today... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage today.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Alu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urena today... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Yoan Moncada has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 14 days. Yoan Moncada's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.2% to 50.7%.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Yoan Moncada has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 14 days. Yoan Moncada's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.2% to 50.7%.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Urena in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Urena in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jackson Rutledge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Anderson in today's matchup. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Tim Anderson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jackson Rutledge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Anderson in today's matchup. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Tim Anderson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's launch angle this season (11.4°) is significantly higher than his 7° mark last year.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's launch angle this season (11.4°) is significantly higher than his 7° mark last year.

Yasmani Grandal Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Y. Grandal
catcher C • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.72
(Season avg.)
Best Odds
Over
-195
Under
+145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Season Avg.
0.72
Best Odds
Over
-195
Under
+145

Yasmani Grandal has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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