Final Jun 16
PHI 5 -108 o8.5
MIA 2 -101 u8.5
Final Jun 16
COL 6 +137 o8.5
WAS 4 -149 u8.5
Final (11) Jun 16
LAA 1 +173 o7.5
NYY 0 -189 u7.5
Final Jun 16
BAL 1 -101 o8.5
TB 7 -107 u8.5
Final Jun 16
BOS 2 +151 o7.0
SEA 0 -165 u7.0
Final Jun 16
HOU 1 -106 o9.5
ATH 3 -102 u9.5
Final Jun 16
SD 3 +150 o8.5
LAD 6 -163 u8.5
MASN2, NBCSCH

Chicago @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

Lane Thomas
L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jose Urena will have the handedness advantage against Lane Thomas in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Urena's large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .272 actual batting average. Sporting a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Lane Thomas has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 9th percentile.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jose Urena will have the handedness advantage against Lane Thomas in today's matchup... and it's a particular mismatch considering Urena's large platoon split. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) implies that Lane Thomas has had positive variance on his side this year with his .272 actual batting average. Sporting a 4.74 K/BB rate this year, Lane Thomas has shown poor plate discipline, ranking in the 9th percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

CJ Abrams
C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. CJ Abrams has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week. CJ Abrams has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate. CJ Abrams has put up a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. CJ Abrams has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week. CJ Abrams has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate. CJ Abrams has put up a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

Jacob Young Total Hits Props • Washington

Jacob Young
J. Young
right outfield RF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 18.8% on the season to 25% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

Jacob Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 18.8% on the season to 25% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

Jake Alu Total Hits Props • Washington

Jake Alu
J. Alu
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Alu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urena today... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage today.

Jake Alu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Alu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urena today... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage today.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

Keibert Ruiz
K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Yoan Moncada Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Yoan Moncada
Y. Moncada
third base 3B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Yoan Moncada has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 14 days. Yoan Moncada's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.2% to 50.7%.

Yoan Moncada

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Yoan Moncada has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 14 days. Yoan Moncada's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.2% to 50.7%.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Urena in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Dominic Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Urena in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Tim Anderson Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Tim Anderson
T. Anderson
shortstop SS • Chi. White Sox
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jackson Rutledge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Anderson in today's matchup. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Tim Anderson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Tim Anderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in baseball for right-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. Jackson Rutledge will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tim Anderson in today's matchup. Tim Anderson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Tim Anderson has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the last two weeks.

Eloy Jimenez Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Eloy Jimenez
E. Jimenez
designated hitter DH • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

Eloy Jimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

Andrew Vaughn Total Hits Props • Chi. White Sox

Andrew Vaughn
A. Vaughn
first base 1B • Chi. White Sox
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's launch angle this season (11.4°) is significantly higher than his 7° mark last year.

Andrew Vaughn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's launch angle this season (11.4°) is significantly higher than his 7° mark last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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