Chicago @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park grades out as the #25 venue in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game. CJ Abrams has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week. CJ Abrams has displayed weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 18th percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate. CJ Abrams has put up a .274 BABIP this year, checking in at the 19th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jacob Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 18.8% on the season to 25% over the past week. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) provides evidence that Jacob Young has been unlucky this year with his .274 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Alu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Jake Alu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Urena today... and moreover, Urena has a large platoon split. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jake Alu will hold that advantage today.

Elvis Andrus has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Chicago White Sox outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of every team on the slate today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 15.3% on the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Yoan Moncada is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park's RF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Yoan Moncada has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.3-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 14 days. Yoan Moncada's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 39.2% to 50.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Eloy Jimenez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Eloy Jimenez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last week, Eloy Jimenez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.5-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Andrew Vaughn has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Vaughn's launch angle this season (11.4°) is significantly higher than his 7° mark last year.

Trayce Thompson has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Yasmani Grandal has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.