Baltimore @ Houston Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Abreu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.4-mph.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%.

Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 19.8% this season.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ryan O'Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Ryan O'Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.5 mph to 84.1 mph.

In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo this year. His .271 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.08 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is very fast.

When assessing his batting average skill, Kyle Tucker is projected as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson today. Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Aaron Hicks has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Aaron Hicks has posted a .322 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yordan Alvarez as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .279.