Final Apr 30
STL 6 +124 o9.0
CIN 0 -135 u9.0
Final Apr 30
DET 7 +105 o8.0
HOU 4 -114 u8.0
Final Apr 30
ATL 1 -253 o10.0
COL 2 +227 u10.0
Final Apr 30
MIA 7 +269 o10.0
LAD 12 -304 u10.0
Final Apr 30
LAA 3 +123 o8.0
SEA 9 -134 u8.0
Final Apr 30
SF 3 +121 o7.0
SD 5 -131 u7.0
Final Apr 30
MIN 2 -102 o7.0
CLE 4 -106 u7.0
Final Apr 30
NYY 4 +110 o9.5
BAL 5 -119 u9.5
Final Apr 30
CHC 3 -169 o9.0
PIT 4 +155 u9.0
Final Apr 30
STL 9 -102 o9.5
CIN 1 -106 u9.5
Final Apr 30
WAS 2 +223 o8.0
PHI 7 -249 u8.0
Final Apr 30
KC 3 +142 o7.5
TB 0 -155 u7.5
Final (10) Apr 30
BOS 6 -101 o9.5
TOR 7 -108 u9.5
Final Apr 30
AZ 4 -107 o8.5
NYM 3 -101 u8.5
Final Apr 30
MIL 6 -145 o7.5
CHW 4 +133 u7.5
Final Apr 30
ATH 7 +131 o8.5
TEX 1 -142 u8.5
MASN, AT&T Sportsnet

Baltimore @ Houston props

Minute Maid Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jose Altuve Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Altuve
second base 2B • Houston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
+170
Projection Rating

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%. Jose Altuve's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Jose Altuve

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. Kyle Gibson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve today. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. In the last week's worth of games, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%. Jose Altuve's average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 86.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
+175
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Abreu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.4-mph.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Abreu in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Abreu will hold that advantage in today's game. Jose Abreu has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the last week to his seasonal figure of 91.4-mph.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-110
Projection Rating

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's game. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 93.8-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 88.6-mph in the past week's worth of games. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Gunnar Henderson's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+130
Projection Rating

Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 19.8% this season.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown today. The Houston Astros have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Compared to last season, Adam Frazier has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.4% to 19.8% this season.

Ryan O'Hearn Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. O'Hearn
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ryan O'Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Ryan O'Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.5 mph to 84.1 mph.

Ryan O'Hearn

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Ryan O'Hearn has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time. Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to lower offensive output. The Houston Astros outfield defense projects as the 4th-strongest among every team playing today. Ryan O'Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Over the last 7 days, Ryan O'Hearn's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 94.5 mph to 84.1 mph.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo this year. His .271 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.08 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is very fast.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jorge Mateo this year. His .271 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .322. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 30.08 ft/sec this year, Jorge Mateo is very fast.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average skill, Kyle Tucker is projected as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson today. Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his batting average skill, Kyle Tucker is projected as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Kyle Tucker will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Gibson today. Extreme groundball batters like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Gibson.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
+110
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Martin Maldonado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Martin Maldonado will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Martin Maldonado has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.5-mph.

Aaron Hicks Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hicks
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-119
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-119
Projection Rating

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Aaron Hicks has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Aaron Hicks has posted a .322 BABIP this year.

Aaron Hicks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Aaron Hicks has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 86th percentile with a 1.66 K/BB rate. Checking in at the 77th percentile, Aaron Hicks has posted a .322 BABIP this year.

Yordan Alvarez Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Alvarez
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yordan Alvarez as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Yordan Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yordan Alvarez as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Minute Maid Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Gibson today.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .279.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. In MLB, Minute Maid Park's LF dimensions are the shallowest. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts for the 5th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate today. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Using Statcast metrics, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 81st percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .279.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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