Final Jun 16
PHI 5 -108 o8.5
MIA 2 -101 u8.5
Final Jun 16
COL 6 +137 o8.5
WAS 4 -149 u8.5
Final (11) Jun 16
LAA 1 +173 o7.5
NYY 0 -189 u7.5
Final Jun 16
BAL 1 -101 o8.5
TB 7 -107 u8.5
Final Jun 16
BOS 2 +151 o7.0
SEA 0 -165 u7.0
Final Jun 16
HOU 1 -106 o9.5
ATH 3 -102 u9.5
Final Jun 16
SD 3 +150 o8.5
LAD 6 -163 u8.5
Bally Sports Network, MASN

St. Louis @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Gunnar Henderson
G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Today, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (84th percentile).

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Today, Gunnar Henderson is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (84th percentile).

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Paul Goldschmidt
P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's game.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's game.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Jordan Walker
J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jordan Walker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like John Means. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jordan Walker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like John Means. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Gorman
N. Gorman
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Luken Baker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Luken Baker
L. Baker
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage against John Means in today's game. Luken Baker has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

Luken Baker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage against John Means in today's game. Luken Baker has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Lars Nootbaar
L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Masyn Winn Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Masyn Winn
M. Winn
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Projection Rating

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means today.

Masyn Winn

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means today.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Adley Rutschman
A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his bad side (0) today against Adam Wainwright

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his bad side (0) today against Adam Wainwright

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

Cedric Mullins
C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Tyler O'Neill Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Tyler O'Neill
T. O'Neill
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Tyler O'Neill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means today. Tyler O'Neill hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Tyler O'Neill

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O'Neill in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Tyler O'Neill will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means today. Tyler O'Neill hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

Nolan Arenado
N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage against John Means today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Arenado will hold the platoon advantage against John Means today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

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Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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