St. Louis @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Nolan Arenado's BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.4% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Arenado are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like John Means. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Arenado today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Jordan Walker will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jordan Walker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like John Means. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles. Baltimore's 3rd-worst outfield defense of the day creates a favorable matchup for Nolan Gorman, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Luken Baker will have the handedness advantage against John Means in today's game. Luken Baker has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest RF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Baltimore Orioles.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 81°. Masyn Winn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against John Means today.

The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will lose the platoon advantage while batting from his bad side (0) today against Adam Wainwright

Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 84°. Cedric Mullins II will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Cedric Mullins II will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ramon Urias has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Aaron Hicks has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

James McCann has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Austin Hays has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Adam Frazier has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.