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Atlanta @ Chicago props

Wrigley Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Javier Assad Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Javier Assad Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Christopher Morel's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Christopher Morel's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Hoerner
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Bryce Elder will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's game. Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 41.8% on the season to 34.8% in the past 14 days.

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Bryce Elder will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's game. Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 41.8% on the season to 34.8% in the past 14 days.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Orlando Arcia has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 16% in the last 14 days. Orlando Arcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 95.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Orlando Arcia has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 16% in the last 14 days. Orlando Arcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 95.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Austin Riley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 20th-best hitter in the game. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Austin Riley pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Y. Gomes
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Yan Gomes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yan Gomes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Yan Gomes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Mike Tauchman Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Tauchman
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Mike Tauchman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Mike Tauchman is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Mike Tauchman will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's game. Mike Tauchman has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
designated hitter DH • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Marcell Ozuna has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.3% seasonal rate to 41.7% in the last week.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Marcell Ozuna has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.3% seasonal rate to 41.7% in the last week.

Cody Bellinger Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Bellinger
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Cody Bellinger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Eddie Rosario has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 10.6% this season.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Eddie Rosario has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 10.6% this season.

Nick Madrigal Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Madrigal
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal as the 20th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Nick Madrigal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Nick Madrigal

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal as the 20th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Nick Madrigal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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