Atlanta @ Chicago Picks & Props

Javier Assad will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Riley in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.

The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Javier Assad Ozzie Albies pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and but may find it hard to clear MLB's 5th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the 5th-best out of all the teams playing today. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last week, Ozzie Albies's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.

Mike Tauchman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 38.8% on the season to 21.9% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Mike Tauchman has been lucky this year, putting up a .338 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .032 difference. Mike Tauchman's 5.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in MLB: 7th percentile.

Christopher Morel's BABIP talent is projected in the 81st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves.

Bryce Elder will hold the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today's game. Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today. Nico Hoerner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, falling from 41.8% on the season to 34.8% in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ian Happ is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%.

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Orlando Arcia has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.3% seasonal rate to 16% in the last 14 days. Orlando Arcia has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph to 95.3-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Yan Gomes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Olson projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's game.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. In the league, Wrigley Field's left field fences are the 7th-shallowest. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Marcell Ozuna has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 15.3% seasonal rate to 41.7% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Madrigal as the 20th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Atlanta Braves. Nick Madrigal will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation generally leads to better offense. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the most humidity on the slate at 76%. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad in today's matchup. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Eddie Rosario has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last season to 10.6% this season.

Michael Harris II has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Travis d'Arnaud has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.