Kansas City @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Aaron Nola will have the handedness advantage against Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #25 ballpark in the majors for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Lyles will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today's game. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.

The #4 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to less offense. This contest is projected to have the 5th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Among all the teams playing today, the best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals. Bryce Harper has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 11.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Lyles in today's game. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 16th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-highest humidity of the day at 84%. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for batters. Drew Waters's launch angle recently (25.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.9° seasonal mark.

Trea Turner's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, posting a .294 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .050 gap.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Brandon Marsh's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.2% up to 20%.

Edward Olivares's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edward Olivares is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Edward Olivares pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Edward Olivares this year. His .307 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .337.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Lyles today. Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Michael Massey is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Michael Massey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 92.2-mph in the past two weeks. Michael Massey's launch angle this season (20.5°) is considerably higher than his 15.8° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dairon Blanco in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Dairon Blanco's quickness has gotten better this year. His 28.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 30.38 ft/sec now.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. MJ Melendez will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's game. MJ Melendez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last year's 90.7-mph average. MJ Melendez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 40.2% on the season to 53.6% over the past 14 days.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for home runs. Over the last two weeks, Salvador Perez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately. Over the past 14 days, Salvador Perez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°.

Matt Beaty has not yet played a game this season.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.