Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 18, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
BAL
@
TB
Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
Shane McClanahan u1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+109)
Shane McClanahan has looked untouchable lately, throwing four straight scoreless outings while allowing only three hits across his last two starts. The Rays ace owns a stellar 0.87 ERA at home and has historically dominated Baltimore hitters. With the Orioles struggling against him, another low-scoring outing looks likely
ATL
@
MIA
Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
CLE
@
DET
Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
CIN
@
PHI
Mon, May 18 • 6:40 PM ET
o9.5 (-108)
I'm a believer in Nick Lodolo, but the Reds lefty has looked very shaky as he's returned from a blister that sidelined him into May. Phillies rookie Andrew Painter may also have a bright future, but a bout of homer-itis has hampered his debut campaign to the tune of a 6.21 ERA. Add in Cincinnati's 4.89 bullpen ERA and we've got a prime recipe for an Over, even at an inflated total.
NYM
@
WAS
Mon, May 18 • 6:45 PM ET
TOR
@
NYY
Mon, May 18 • 7:05 PM ET
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Kazuma Okamoto has a team-high 10 home runs, while ranking in the 95th percentile in hard-hit rate.
The Jays slugger owns a .295 average and a .636 xSLG against the four-seam fastball, which is Ryan Weathers’ most used pitch against right-handed batters
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Despite a prolonged slump, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s bat was never going to stay silent for too long, and he busted out with a two-hit game on Sunday, including a home run. While he may not go deep tonight, he measures up well against Ryan Weathers and his fastball-heavy approach.
HOU
@
MIN
Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
MIL
@
CHC
Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
BOS
@
KC
Mon, May 18 • 7:40 PM ET
o9.0 (-105)
The Royals trail only the Yankees in OPS vs. righties while ranking first in both hard hit rate and FB% at home. That's a huge plus when playing in a hitter-friendly ballpark – especially on a hot day with up to 20 MPH blowing out.
Seth Lugo has had a tougher time against left-handed hitters and the Red Sox have plenty to throw at him.
KC (-105)
Seth Lugo has made four starts against teams in the bottom half of the league in OBP, allowing two runs or less in three of them.
The Boston Red Sox rank 24th in OBP against right-handed pitching and 28th the past month.
Sonny Gray will have a more difficult time slowing down the Kansas City Royals. Their offense is electric at home, sitting third in OBP and second in wOBA when facing righties.
TEX
@
COL
Mon, May 18 • 8:40 PM ET
ATH
@
LAA
Mon, May 18 • 9:38 PM ET
ATH (-125)
LAD
@
SD
Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
Yoshinobu Yamamoto forecasts for success against an ice-cold Padres lineup (24.9% K rate against RHP this month), whereas San Diego is 2-7 O/U in Michael King's last nine starts. Both ballclubs have effective bullpens as San Diego's leads the MLB in FIP (2.44) this month, while LA is right behind (2.46).
These teams may have a similar record, but pretty much every underlying metric you look at will tell you the Dodgers are the superior ballclub. The Padres' 23-23 BasRuns record, a more accurate depiction of their performance, isn't very appealing, nor is their wOBA (.276) or wRC+ (76) this month.
CHW
@
SEA
Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
SF
@
AZ
Mon, May 18 • 9:40 PM ET
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Corbin Carroll is red-hot at the plate, hitting .421 over the last week while clearing this total in four consecutive games. The Diamondbacks star is driving the ball with authority, collecting extra-base hits consistently. Robbie Ray has been vulnerable to power this season, giving Carroll a strong opportunity to stay rolling.
MIL
@
STL
Tue, Jul 7 • 2:15 PM ET
u8.0 (-120)
If Brandon Sproat can hold his own early, the Brewers will turn to an excellent bullpen that ranks fifth in xFIP and tied for third in homers allowed per nine innings.
Colder weather and Andre Pallante’s high ground-ball rate (50%) should allow the Cardinals to limit the long ball. That’ll make it difficult to score runs in bulk, helping keep this game Under the total.
MIL (-110)
Brandon Sproat’s xFIP and SIERA are two full runs less than his ERA, suggesting he hasn’t pitched as poorly as it appears on the surface.
Andre Pallante has posted some concerning numbers against lefties (47.2% hard-hit rate, 13.2% barrel rate), and the Brewers have plenty of good ones in their lineup. This mismatch favors the visitors, and we'll take the Brewers on the ML.
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