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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 19, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.87 |
+136 
|
o8.0 -110 
|
+1.5 -150 
|
|
4.78 |
-140 
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +150 
|
Detroit
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Tigers are 6-0 in Jobes last 6 road starts.
Pittsburgh
- Over is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Pirates last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.45 |
-128
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
4.73 |
+120 
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -135
|
San Diego
- Over is 5-0 in Kings last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 8-2 in Padres last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Kings last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 7-3 in Padres last 10 vs. National League East.
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0 in Mets last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Stocks last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
-102
|
o8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +160
|
|
4.85 |
-104
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -170
|
Atlanta
- Braves are 11-0 in their last 11 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Sales last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Minnesota
- Under is 5-0 in Bradleys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Bradleys last 4 home starts.
Top Projection
Kody Clemens o0.5 Total RBIs (+192)
o0.5+192
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.81 |
+124
|
o8.0 -112
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.35 |
-145
|
u8.5 -120
|
-1.5 +146
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 interleague games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+130
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.23 |
-140
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Pfaadts last 5 road starts.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 starts as a road underdog.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Pfaadts last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Pfaadts last 9 starts on grass.
Boston
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in Tolles last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
o0.5+155
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
+115
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.55 |
-121
|
u8.5 -105
|
-1.5 +165 
|
Miami
- Under is 8-0 in Alcantaras last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Alcantaras last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Alcantaras last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
Philadelphia
- Under is 5-0 in Phillies last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0-2 in Nolas last 8 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.70 |
-115
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.45 |
+110
|
u9.5 -120
|
+1.5 -146
|
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 10-1 in Yankees last 11 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Baltimore
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-0 in Bassitts last 7 starts on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.00 |
+190
|
o7.5 -109 
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.86 |
-200
|
u8.0 -118 
|
-1.5 +108
|
Toronto
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Jays last 5 vs. American League East.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0-1 in Rasmussens last 8 starts vs. American League East.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in Rays last 7 overall.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+240
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.45 |
+162
|
o7.0 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
5.04 |
-177
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Giants last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1-3 in Giants last 8 games as a road underdog.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-0 in Messicks last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 7-1 in Messicks last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in Messicks last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.35 |
+130
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.76 |
-135
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
St. Louis
- Over is 4-0 in Liberatores last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Liberatores last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 4 of a series.
- Reds are 4-0 in Burns' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.22 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
4.75 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 road games.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 home games.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+110
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
4.04 |
-117
|
u7.5 -122
|
-1.5 +180
|
Seattle
- Under is 3-0-2 in Mariners last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 4-0 in Gilberts last 4 interleague starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Under is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Brewers last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Brewers last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.16 |
+128
|
o7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -186
|
|
3.89 |
-125
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +176
|
Washington
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Nationals are 7-0 in Cavallis last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.05 |
+143
|
o8.5 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
4.56 |
-150
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +135
|
LA Angels
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
Houston
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Astros are 7-2 in their last 9 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.95 |
-180
|
o11.5 +105
|
-1.5 -120
|
|
5.21 |
+175
|
u11.5 -110
|
+1.5 +110
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 6-0 in Sasakis last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Dodgers are 9-1 in Sasakis last 10 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Rockies last 9 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 7-0 in Cardinals last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Cardinals are 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 on grass.
- Reds are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 during game 5 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Blue Jays last 4 on fieldturf.
- Over is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 6-1-1 in Rays last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Rays last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Rays last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Roupps last 6 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Roupps last 7 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in Williams' last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Williams' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 6-2 in last 8 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in last 5 games as a favorite.
- are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Royals last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Under is 5-0-2 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-2 in Kirbys last 8 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Kirbys last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 6-0 in Gassers last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 vs. American League West.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Gassers last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-115
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Over is 4-0-1 in Braves last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 6-1 in Braves last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Braves last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Coles last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Baltimore
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 7-1 in Orioles last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Orioles are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League East.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Alvarezs last 5 road starts.
Texas
- Under is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 road games.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a road underdog.
Houston
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games.
DET
@
PIT
Wed, Aug 19 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 13th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jackson Jobe throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Kevin McGonigle o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kevin McGonigle will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#3-worst on the slate today).
SD
@
NYM
Wed, Aug 19 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 85°.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Robert Stock in today's matchup... and even better, Stock has a large platoon split.. Jake Cronenworth has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Francisco Alvarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 85°.. Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
ATL
@
MIN
Wed, Aug 19 • 1:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.45
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game.. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Trevor Larnach o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.84
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that AJ Smith-Shawver throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game.. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
AZ
@
BOS
Wed, Aug 19 • 4:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tim Tawa o1.5 Total Bases (+199)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Tim Tawa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Tim Tawa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Payton Tolle in today's game.. Tim Tawa hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Corbin Carroll o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.91
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corbin Carroll projects as the 20th-best hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Corbin Carroll pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
NYY
@
BAL
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:35 PM ET
Moneyline
NYY (-121)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
Chris Bassitt throws a ton of different pitches, and not many have been plus pitches for him this season. However, his sweeper has been one of his better strikeout and put-away pitches, posting a +1 run value. The problem for Bassitt is that the pitch loses some of its effectiveness against a Yankees lineup that could have as many as seven left-handed hitters. The sweeper will be breaking right into the barrels of those left-handed bats, potentially taking away Bassitt's primary put-away pitch. Camden Yards also won't do Bassitt any favors, as it's much easier for left-handed hitters to hit the ball out to right field than it is for right-handed hitters to pull a home run to left. The Yankees are trading as a 54-cent favorite on Polymarket, but I price them closer to a 57-cent favorite, which is why I'm hitting the button.
Total
o9.5 (+100)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
TOR
@
TB
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. George Springer is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+200)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.
SF
@
CLE
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. This game is forecasted to have the 3rd-most humid conditions of all games on the slate (76%); there is a small but significant link with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid.. Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage today.
STL
@
CIN
Wed, Aug 19 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Matt McLain ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the highest humidity of the day at 83%.. Matt McLain will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Liberatore in today's game.. Matt McLain has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Matt McLain will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.98
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 16th-best home run batter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the highest humidity of the day at 83%.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Liberatore throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage today.. Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (38.9% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
SEA
@
MIL
Wed, Aug 19 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+225)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cal Raleigh projects as the 9th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The switch-hitting Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Dustin May.
Total RBIs
Cole Young o0.5 Total RBIs (+243)
Projection 0.43
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. Batting from the opposite that Dustin May throws from, Cole Young will have an advantage in today's game.
WAS
@
TEX
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Brandon Nimmo o0.5 Total RBIs (+202)
Projection 0.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Nimmo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Brandon Nimmo will have the handedness advantage over Cade Cavalli in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brandon Nimmo will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Hits
Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Evan Carter is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this game -10° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.. Evan Carter hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. The Washington Nationals outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams today.
LAD
@
COL
Wed, Aug 19 • 8:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.. Andy Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Freeland today.
Total RBIs
Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Willi Castro is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 5th-hottest temperature of the day at 83°.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Roki Sasaki in today's game.. Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: 2 months ago
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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