Final Aug 21
ATH 8 -106 o9.5
MIN 3 -102 u9.5
Final Aug 21
TEX 4 +102 o9.0
KC 6 -110 u9.0
Final Aug 21
MIL 4 +125 o6.5
CHC 1 -136 u6.5
Final Aug 21
LAD 9 -203 o11.5
COL 5 +184 u11.5
Final Aug 21
NYM 3 -124 o8.0
WAS 9 +114 u8.0
Final Aug 21
SF 4 +163 o7.5
SD 8 -179 u7.5
Final Aug 21
HOU 7 +103 o8.5
BAL 2 -112 u8.5
Final Aug 21
BOS 6 +126 o8.5
NYY 3 -137 u8.5
Final Aug 21
STL 7 -113 o8.0
TB 4 +105 u8.0
Bally Sports Network

Cleveland @ Kansas City props

Kauffman Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Duffy Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Matt Duffy
M. Duffy
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Matt Duffy has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Last season, Matt Duffy had a launch angle of 8.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 4.6°. As it relates to his batting average, Matt Duffy has been lucky since the start of last season. His .265 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233. Matt Duffy's 3.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Matt Duffy

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Duffy has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Last season, Matt Duffy had a launch angle of 8.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 4.6°. As it relates to his batting average, Matt Duffy has been lucky since the start of last season. His .265 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233. Matt Duffy's 3.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Josh Bell
J. Bell
designated hitter DH • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in Major League Baseball. Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Josh Bell

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in Major League Baseball. Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (86th percentile). Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Compared to his seasonal angle of 7°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.8°) in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .298, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .018 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .316 wOBA. Maikel Garcia's 7° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 11th percentile.

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (86th percentile). Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Compared to his seasonal angle of 7°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.8°) in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .298, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .018 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .316 wOBA. Maikel Garcia's 7° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 11th percentile.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Will Brennan
W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Will Brennan is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today. Austin Cox will hold the platoon advantage against Will Brennan today. Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87-mph over the last two weeks.

Will Brennan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Will Brennan is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today. Austin Cox will hold the platoon advantage against Will Brennan today. Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87-mph over the last two weeks.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Andres Gimenez
A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in Major League Baseball. Austin Cox will hold the platoon advantage over Andres Gimenez today. Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Andres Gimenez's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph average last season has dropped to 83.8-mph.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in Major League Baseball. Austin Cox will hold the platoon advantage over Andres Gimenez today. Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Andres Gimenez's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph average last season has dropped to 83.8-mph.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Edward Olivares
E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Drew Waters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Drew Waters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nicky Lopez
N. Lopez
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Nicky Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nicky Lopez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 rate is deflated compared to his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Nicky Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nicky Lopez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 rate is deflated compared to his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Samad Taylor Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Samad Taylor
S. Taylor
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Samad Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Samad Taylor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Samad Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

MJ Melendez
M. Melendez
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. MJ Melendez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. MJ Melendez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Myles Straw
M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Myles Straw's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Myles Straw will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Cox in today's matchup.

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Myles Straw's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Myles Straw will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Cox in today's matchup.

Dairon Blanco Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Dairon Blanco
D. Blanco
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 96°. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Dairon Blanco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Dairon Blanco has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.86 ft/sec to 29.49 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Dairon Blanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 96°. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Dairon Blanco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Dairon Blanco has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.86 ft/sec to 29.49 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Cam Gallagher Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Cam Gallagher
C. Gallagher
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 96°. Cam Gallagher will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Cox in today's game. Cam Gallagher has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 24.88 ft/sec to 25.38 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cam Gallagher's true offensive skill to be a .251, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .084 difference between that mark and his actual .167 wOBA.

Cam Gallagher

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 96°. Cam Gallagher will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Cox in today's game. Cam Gallagher has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 24.88 ft/sec to 25.38 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cam Gallagher's true offensive skill to be a .251, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .084 difference between that mark and his actual .167 wOBA.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.96
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Salvador Perez has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Jose Ramirez
J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.10
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jose Ramirez has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Cleveland

Amed Rosario
A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.94
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Nick Pratto Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Pratto
N. Pratto
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.76
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Nick Pratto has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.12
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast

// Scripts for MLB A/B test