Cleveland @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Matt Duffy has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.5%) and will be challenged by the league's deepest RF fences in today's game. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Last season, Matt Duffy had a launch angle of 8.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 4.6°. As it relates to his batting average, Matt Duffy has been lucky since the start of last season. His .265 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233. Matt Duffy's 3.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) ranks in the 10th percentile since the start of last season.

Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in Major League Baseball. Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In today's game, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (86th percentile). Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians. Compared to his seasonal angle of 7°, Maikel Garcia has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.8°) in the last two weeks. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Maikel Garcia's true offensive skill to be a .298, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .018 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .316 wOBA. Maikel Garcia's 7° launch angle (a reliable stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 11th percentile.

Will Brennan is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today. Austin Cox will hold the platoon advantage against Will Brennan today. Will Brennan hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Will Brennan's exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 89-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87-mph over the last two weeks.

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game. Home runs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest in Major League Baseball. Austin Cox will hold the platoon advantage over Andres Gimenez today. Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Andres Gimenez's average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 87.8-mph average last season has dropped to 83.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edward Olivares in the 82nd percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Edward Olivares will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's matchup... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Drew Waters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Nicky Lopez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Nicky Lopez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 rate is deflated compared to his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Samad Taylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and even better, Allen has a huge platoon split. Samad Taylor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. MJ Melendez will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Myles Straw's BABIP talent is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 95°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for bats. Myles Straw will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Cox in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 96°. Dairon Blanco will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today... and the cherry on top, Allen has a huge platoon split. Dairon Blanco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Dairon Blanco has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year's 28.86 ft/sec to 29.49 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the highest temperatures on the slate today at 96°. Cam Gallagher will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Cox in today's game. Cam Gallagher has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season's 24.88 ft/sec to 25.38 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric). The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cam Gallagher's true offensive skill to be a .251, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .084 difference between that mark and his actual .167 wOBA.

Salvador Perez has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Jose Ramirez has gone over 1.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Amed Rosario has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Nick Pratto has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Bobby Witt Jr. has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Steven Kwan has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Bo Naylor has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.